SONY
Sony Group Corporation American Depositary Shares (Each Representing One Share of Dollar Validated Common Stock)
Household Audio & Video Equipment
SONY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$26.48
-0.23 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
+8.82%
90d:
+12.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$24.22 – $26.36
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.2x
STRETCHED
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$31.75
+18.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.00 / $28.30
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SONY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.59
Based on -17.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SONY is currently trading at $26.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.22 to $26.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SONY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.00, while resistance sits at $28.30.
Market Sentiment: SONY scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.75 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SONY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.00, while resistance sits at $28.30.
Market Sentiment: SONY scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.75 (+18.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.22 -
$26.36
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$24.22 -
$26.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$25.00
Resistance Level
$28.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.22
Wall Street Target
$31.75
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Profit Margin
-1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 17.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.42
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$30.24
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$32.17
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.2, Growth: -39.6%)
$26.39
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -39.6%)
$24.70
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -39.6%)
$21.00
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$27.96
(+5%)
Analyst growth -6.1%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$25.42
(-5%)
Market implied -6.1%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$18.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SONY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SONY are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 2 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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