Simon Property Group (SPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPG - Simon Property Group, Inc.
$212.04
6.49 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
+4.25%
30d:
+3.86%
90d:
-7.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$270.50
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPG is currently trading at $212.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.41 to $206.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.3) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$200.41 -
$206.01
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($228.89)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 19.5% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$200.41 -
$206.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.86
Resistance Level
$212.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.31
Wall Street Target
$228.89
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Profit Margin
66.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 29.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.49
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$221.04
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$225.68
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$212.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.3, Growth: 15.8%)
$329.12
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$208.79
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.8%)
$177.47
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.07
Bull Case
$113.05
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$102.78
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$139.77
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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