Is SPG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SPG is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: SPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of SPG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SPG to be between $220.11 and $229.86. The current price is $218.29.

What is the analyst price target for SPG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SPG is $231.32. This implies a potential upside of 5.3% from current levels.

SPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPG - Simon Property Group, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$218.29

-1.61 (-0.73%) ▼

5d: -0.59%

30d: -3.07%

90d: +6.53%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your SPG Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $221.67 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 1.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$191.98

Based on 2.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$119.21

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPG is currently trading at $218.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $220.11 to $229.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (29.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $217.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $220.11 - $229.86

Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 78.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($231.32)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with 19.5% revenue growth
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $220.11 - $229.86

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $217.29

Resistance Level $223.66

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.74

Wall Street Target $231.32 (+5.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.5%

Profit Margin 66.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium

PE vs Historical 32.7 vs 29.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $228.14 (+4%)

2-Year Target $237.04 (+8%)

3-Year Target $246.29 (+12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→29) PE COMPRESSION $219.64 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 32.7, Growth: 1.5%) $229.85 (+5%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.5%) $142.02 (-35%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 1.5%) $120.71 (-45%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 15.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.22

Bull Case $121.81 (-44%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 17.1

Base Case $110.73 (-49%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 15.6

Bear Case $150.60 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 AM

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