SPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPG - Simon Property Group, Inc.
$216.52
1.95 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
+5.67%
90d:
+19.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPG is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPG is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.49
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPG is currently trading at $216.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.57 to $212.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.0) compared to its historical average (28.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $213.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$202.57 -
$212.96
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($215.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.57 -
$212.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$202.20
Resistance Level
$213.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.99
Wall Street Target
$215.25
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Profit Margin
70.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
32.0 vs 28.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$223.80
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$233.42
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$243.46
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$214.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.0, Growth: 4.1%)
$242.11
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$164.82
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$140.10
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.37
Bull Case
$116.23
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$105.66
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$143.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Daniel C Smith
BUY
347 shares
2025-12-31
Stefan M Selig
BUY
201 shares
2025-12-31
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