Is SPG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SPG is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of SPG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SPG to be between $211.55 and $223.64. The current price is $204.83.

What is the analyst price target for SPG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SPG is $236.89. This implies a potential upside of 15.7% from current levels.

Simon Property Group (SPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPG - Simon Property Group, Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

$204.83

0.16 (0.08%) ▲

5d: -3.16%

30d: -7.13%

90d: -4.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SPG Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 02, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $209.44 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$221.71

Based on 5.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$137.67

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPG is currently trading at $204.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.55 to $223.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SPG scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.89 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $211.55 - $223.64

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($236.89)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 19.5% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $211.55 - $223.64

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $203.80

Resistance Level $216.65

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.61

Wall Street Target $236.89 (+15.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -12.5%

Profit Margin 66.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium

PE vs Historical 30.6 vs 29.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $207.70 (+1%)

2-Year Target $210.61 (+3%)

3-Year Target $213.55 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→29) PE COMPRESSION $205.14 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 30.6, Growth: 7.6%) $255.13 (+25%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.6%) $168.14 (-18%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.6%) $142.92 (-30%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 14.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.18

Bull Case $112.57 (-45%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 15.9

Base Case $102.33 (-50%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 14.4

Bear Case $139.18 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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