SPH
Suburban Propane Partners L P
RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL
SPH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.71
+0.44 (+2.55%)
▲
5d:
+3.21%
30d:
+3.21%
90d:
+0.0%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
TODAY
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$17.05 – $17.73
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.5x
FAIR
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.00
-4.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.01 / $18.19
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SPH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.75
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPH is currently trading at $17.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.05 to $17.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$17.05 -
$17.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.05 -
$17.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$17.01
Resistance Level
$18.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.51
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.20
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$16.70
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$16.21
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$17.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$51.71
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$22.17
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 7.8%)
$18.84
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.93
Bull Case
$20.47
(+16%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$18.61
(+5%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$11.74
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.34
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SPH)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Apr 11, 2024
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SPH are bullish (sentiment score +0.18) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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