SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$10.47
0.11 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+4.49%
30d:
+5.02%
90d:
+0.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
7d
Get Alerted When SPMC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.37
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $10.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.96 to $10.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.9) is in line with its historical norms (5.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.96 -
$10.44
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.96 -
$10.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.90
Resistance Level
$10.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.88
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-174.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.55
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.64
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.39
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -7.0%)
$29.63
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: -7.0%)
$8.41
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: -7.0%)
$7.15
(-32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew E Forstenhausler
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-13
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1314 | 52 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$148 | 51 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 55 HOLD |
|
BN
Brookfield Corp |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$54 | 62 BUY |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 55 HOLD |