SPMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPMC - Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
$11.65
0.08 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
+6.3%
30d:
+9.91%
90d:
+7.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SPMC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.37
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPMC is currently trading at $11.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.37 to $11.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (5.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPMC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.37 -
$11.34
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($11.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.37 -
$11.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.25
Resistance Level
$11.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.54
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(-5.6%)
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 5.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.19
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$12.75
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$13.33
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -7.0%)
$31.32
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$9.36
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: -7.0%)
$7.95
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$6.75
(-40%)
Analyst growth -44.0%, PE expands to 3.8
Base Case
$6.13
(-45%)
Market implied -44.0%, PE stable at 3.5
Bear Case
$7.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Ketchum
BUY
1000 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew E Forstenhausler
BUY
2000 shares
2026-02-13
Guaranty Ltd Assured
SELL
237 shares
2026-01-29
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