Spero Therapeutics (SPRO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPRO - Spero Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$1.19
-0.07 (-5.56%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.25%
30d: -2.46%
90d: -45.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SPRO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPRO is currently trading at $1.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.14 to $1.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -11.3) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.12, while resistance sits at $1.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: SPRO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.00 (+320.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $1.14 - $1.25
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 55th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 55th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 320.2% below Wall St target ($5.00)
  • BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.14 - $1.25
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$0.34 (28.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.12
Resistance Level $1.44
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -11.33
Wall Street Target $5.00 (+320.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -95.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 75.3%
Profit Margin 15.7%
PE vs Historical -11.3 vs 6.5 CHEAP
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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