SPXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPXC - SPX Technologies, Inc.

METALWORKG MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$207.20
2.72 (1.33%) ▲
5d: -4.66%
30d: -5.73%
90d: +0.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SPXC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$387.28
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$240.47
13.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPXC is currently trading at $207.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.73 to $220.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPXC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $203.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $272.17 (+25.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $205.73 - $220.05
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($272.17)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $205.73 - $220.05
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$11.51 (5.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $203.52
Resistance Level $222.14
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.24
Wall Street Target $272.17 (+25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 41.0%
Profit Margin 11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 25.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $208.05 (-4%)
2-Year Target $198.90 (-9%)
3-Year Target $190.15 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→25) $217.13 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.2, Growth: 15.4%) $334.54 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.4%) $302.45 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.4%) $257.09 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.69
Bull Case $411.05 (+98%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case $373.68 (+80%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case $147.78 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 25.4
Stabilization Target: $248.51 (+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.2%
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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