SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
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SR Bancorp (SRBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.92
+0.02 (+0.11%)
â˛
5d:
-0.63%
30d:
+1.28%
90d:
-6.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$18.48 â $19.01
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.2x
FAIR
vs 32.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.00
+0.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.35 / $19.29
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SRBK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $18.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.48 to $19.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.2) is in line with its historical norms (32.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.01
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$18.35
Resistance Level
$19.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.16
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 32.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$19.36
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â32)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$23.29
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$21.17
(+12%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$12.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SRBK)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
SR Bancorp reported a significant increase in net income for Q3 2026, up 54.1% YoY, driven by stronger earnings and net interest income.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings growth
net interest income
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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