SR Bancorp (SRBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRBK - SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
$19.49
-0.15 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-0.05%
30d:
-4.37%
90d:
+3.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $19.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.50 to $20.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.2) is in line with its historical norms (32.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.50 -
$20.10
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 9.3% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.50 -
$20.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.25
Resistance Level
$19.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.19
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
34.2 vs 32.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.90
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$20.32
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$20.74
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$27.99
(+44%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case
$25.44
(+31%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 44.6
Bear Case
$13.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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