SR Bancorp (SRBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRBK - SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
$18.75
-0.10 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-2.65%
30d:
-3.85%
90d:
-4.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SRBK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SRBK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $18.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.19 to $19.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.9) is in line with its historical norms (32.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.19 -
$19.71
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 9.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.19 -
$19.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.34
Resistance Level
$19.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.89
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 32.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.01
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.15
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$26.86
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 47.1
Base Case
$24.42
(+30%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case
$12.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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