SR Bancorp (SRBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRBK - SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock
$18.84
0.24 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
+1.29%
30d:
-2.08%
90d:
-1.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SRBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRBK is currently trading at $18.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.45 to $19.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.6) is in line with its historical norms (32.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRBK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $18.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRBK scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.45 -
$19.39
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 9.0% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.45 -
$19.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.77
Resistance Level
$18.85
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.63
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.8%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
32.6 vs 32.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.67
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$18.75
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$18.82
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$26.66
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 46.8
Base Case
$24.24
(+30%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 42.5
Bear Case
$12.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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