SSR Mining (SSRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SSRM - SSR Mining Inc.

MINERAL ROYALTY TRADERS
$29.20
-2.26 (-7.18%) ▼
5d: -8.03%
30d: -19.56%
90d: +8.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSRM trades at premium valuation expecting 8.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.84
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SSRM is currently trading at $29.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.90 to $36.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (6.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: SSRM scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+40.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $31.90 - $36.01
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($41.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.6% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.90 - $36.01
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.06
Resistance Level $35.75
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.86
Wall Street Target $41.00 (+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.1%
Profit Margin 12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.6% premium
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 6.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.71 (+9%)
2-Year Target $34.44 (+18%)
3-Year Target $37.40 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→6) PE COMPRESSION $29.01 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.9%) $69.68 (+139%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -1.9%) $27.59 (-6%)
Bear: (PE: 6.1, Growth: -1.9%) $21.40 (-27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case $43.12 (+48%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case $39.20 (+34%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case $21.39 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:18 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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