SSR Mining (SSRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSRM - SSR Mining Inc.
$33.27
-0.15 (-0.45%)
βΌ
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-11.87%
90d:
+8.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: SSRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: SSRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.87
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSRM is currently trading at $33.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.65 to $38.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.40 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.40 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.65 -
$38.09
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($42.40)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) β watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.65 -
$38.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.85
Resistance Level
$38.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.03
Wall Street Target
$42.40
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$33.22
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$33.12
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6β6)
$33.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 36.2%)
$285.90
(+756%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 36.2%)
$84.52
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 36.2%)
$71.84
(+115%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$73.30
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$66.64
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$22.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.1
Stabilization Target:
$33.80
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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