SSRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSRM - SSR Mining Inc.
$37.77
0.94 (2.55%)
▲
5d:
+17.33%
30d:
+38.86%
90d:
+24.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSRM is 15.5% above its trading range ($32.69). Market expects -2.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SSRM is 15.5% above its trading range ($32.69). Market expects -2.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.02
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSRM is currently trading at $37.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.67 to $32.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSRM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.40 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSRM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SSRM scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.40 (+26.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.67 -
$32.69
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($41.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.67 -
$32.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.95
Resistance Level
$38.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.66
Wall Street Target
$41.40
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.42
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$30.76
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$32.61
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 41.6%)
$330.85
(+909%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 41.6%)
$93.11
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 41.6%)
$79.15
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$70.82
(+88%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$64.38
(+71%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$21.89
(-42%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$34.75
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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