Staar Surgical (STAA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAA - Staar Surgical Co
$22.36
-0.02 (-0.09%)
âŧ
5d:
+9.02%
30d:
-3.25%
90d:
-18.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STAA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STAA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.40
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAA is currently trading at $22.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.93 to $23.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.5) compared to its historical average (36.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.70 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.70 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.93 -
$23.57
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STAA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($27.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.93 -
$23.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.05
Resistance Level
$22.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.54
Wall Street Target
$27.70
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
111.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.5 vs 36.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.32
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â37)
$27.87
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.5, Growth: 36.2%)
$56.59
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 36.2%)
$53.58
(+139%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 36.2%)
$45.55
(+104%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (127x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 126.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.18
Bull Case
$27.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 132.9
Base Case
$22.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 126.6
Bear Case
$17.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 113.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.5 to 36.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.23
(+70.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STAA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STAA price and gamma walls.
