Staar Surgical (STAA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STAA - Staar Surgical Co

OPHTHALMIC GOODS
$22.66
-0.76 (-3.25%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.88%
30d: -10.82%
90d: -21.59%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: STAA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.95
26.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STAA is currently trading at $22.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.84 to $24.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (38.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.77, while resistance sits at $24.36. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: STAA scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.90 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $22.84 - $24.85
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($27.90)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.84 - $24.85
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.77
Resistance Level $24.37
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.13
Wall Street Target $27.90 (+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 111.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Profit Margin 1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.1 vs 38.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.39 (-10%)
2-Year Target $18.35 (-19%)
3-Year Target $16.52 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→38) $28.36 (+25%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.3%) $54.85 (+142%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.3%) $49.99 (+121%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.3%) $42.49 (+88%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.42
Bull Case $27.36 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.5
Base Case $22.66 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.8
Bear Case $17.33 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 38.0
Stabilization Target: $38.90 (+71.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +71.7%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Advanced STAA Option Strategies

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