STAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STAA - Staar Surgical Co

OPHTHALMIC GOODS
$28.40
-0.43 (-1.49%) ▼
5d: +0.11%
30d: -13.39%
90d: +53.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STAA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.85
4.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STAA is currently trading at $28.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.51 to $31.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (42.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $28.51 - $31.83
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($29.67)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $28.51 - $31.83
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.16 (7.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.17
Resistance Level $30.36
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.19
Wall Street Target $29.67 (+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 119.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Profit Margin -7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.2 vs 42.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.95 (-10%)
2-Year Target $23.35 (-19%)
3-Year Target $21.02 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→43) $30.60 (+6%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.2, Growth: 34.1%) $69.55 (+141%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.1%) $51.89 (+80%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.1%) $44.10 (+53%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 42.5
Stabilization Target: $41.97 (+45.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +45.6%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Broadwood Partners, L.P. BUY 316017 shares 2026-03-13
Broadwood Partners, L.P. BUY 299432 shares 2026-03-12
Broadwood Partners, L.P. BUY 54764 shares 2026-03-11

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Advanced STAA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STAA price and gamma walls.

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