STAG INDUSTRIAL (STAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$36.51
0.05 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+2.3%
30d:
-0.87%
90d:
-11.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.45
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $36.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.86 to $37.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.9) is in line with its historical norms (34.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.33 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.33 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.86 -
$37.14
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.33)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.86 -
$37.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.32
Resistance Level
$36.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.91
Wall Street Target
$41.33
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 34.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.71
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$35.32
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$36.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$37.73
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$22.77
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$19.36
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$34.23
(-6%)
Analyst growth -14.7%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$31.12
(-15%)
Market implied -14.7%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case
$24.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.9 to 34.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.72
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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