STAG INDUSTRIAL (STAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.12
-0.25 (-0.67%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.93%
30d:
+2.09%
90d:
+0.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$35.89 â $37.15
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.6x
FAIR
vs 34.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$41.25
+11.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$36.36 / $38.19
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STAG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.84
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $37.12, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.89 to $37.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.6) is in line with its historical norms (34.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.25 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.25 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$35.89 -
$37.15
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.89 -
$37.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$36.36
Resistance Level
$38.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.57
Wall Street Target
$41.25
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.6 vs 34.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.09
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$35.58
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â34)
$37.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.6, Growth: -7.7%)
$29.17
(+-21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.7%)
$17.79
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -7.7%)
$15.12
(-59%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$33.23
(-11%)
Analyst growth -19.2%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$30.21
(-19%)
Market implied -19.2%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$25.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.6 to 34.0
Stabilization Target:
$38.75
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (STAG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor $Username is bullish on $STAG ahead of earnings report, citing a strong earnings history and analyst expectations of $0.27 EPS.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
earnings history
analyst expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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