STAG INDUSTRIAL (STAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$37.14
0.27 (0.73%)
â˛
5d:
-1.49%
30d:
+0.54%
90d:
-2.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STAG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STAG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $37.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.70 to $37.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.7) is in line with its historical norms (34.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.92 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.92 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.70 -
$37.45
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.70 -
$37.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.69
Resistance Level
$38.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.67
Wall Street Target
$41.92
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 34.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.95
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.77
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$36.59
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34â34)
$37.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 51.0%)
$37.71
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 51.0%)
$22.59
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 51.0%)
$19.20
(-48%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$34.41
(-7%)
Analyst growth -15.2%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$31.28
(-16%)
Market implied -15.2%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$25.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.7 to 34.2
Stabilization Target:
$37.72
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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