STAG INDUSTRIAL (STAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$36.05
0.33 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
-2.01%
30d:
-3.69%
90d:
-7.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STAG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STAG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $36.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.60 to $37.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.7) is in line with its historical norms (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.75 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.75 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.60 -
$37.58
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.60 -
$37.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.39
Resistance Level
$37.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.68
Wall Street Target
$41.75
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 34.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.98
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$34.45
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→34)
$35.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 51.0%)
$36.60
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 51.0%)
$22.85
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 51.0%)
$19.42
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$33.34
(-8%)
Analyst growth -15.2%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$30.31
(-16%)
Market implied -15.2%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$24.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.7 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$37.61
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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