S&T Bancorp (STBA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$51.41
+0.03 (+0.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.27%
30d:
+6.2%
90d:
-0.12%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$48.55 – $51.19
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
FAIR
vs 11.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.17
+5.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$49.92 / $53.58
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STBA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.10
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STBA is currently trading at $51.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.55 to $51.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STBA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STBA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $49.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.55 -
$51.19
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$48.55 -
$51.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$49.92
Resistance Level
$53.58
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$54.17
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
35.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$52.76
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$53.44
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.2%)
$85.34
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 1.2%)
$53.27
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 1.2%)
$45.28
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.93
Bull Case
$59.64
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$54.22
(+6%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$34.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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