STEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
$42.93
-2.53 (-5.57%)
▼
5d:
-8.76%
30d:
-21.57%
90d:
-9.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STEP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STEP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.52
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.66
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $42.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.66 to $53.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.49, while resistance sits at $53.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.50 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.49, while resistance sits at $53.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.50 (+68.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.66 -
$53.73
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($72.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.66 -
$53.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.49
Resistance Level
$53.38
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.12
Wall Street Target
$72.50
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.5%
Profit Margin
-26.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 23.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$34.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$31.40
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→23)
$42.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.9%)
$94.14
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 19.9%)
$74.00
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 19.9%)
$62.90
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$58.67
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2026-01-26
Scott W Hart
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-26
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