StepStone Group (STEP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
$42.04
-1.43 (-3.29%)
▼
5d:
+0.96%
30d:
-3.47%
90d:
-5.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
Get Alerted When STEP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STEP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STEP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.19
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.49
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $42.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.33 to $46.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $40.05, while resistance sits at $44.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: STEP scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.70 (+56.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $40.05, while resistance sits at $44.31. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: STEP scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.70 (+56.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.33 -
$46.36
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 56.3% below Wall St target ($65.70)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.33 -
$46.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.25
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.05
Resistance Level
$44.31
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.77
Wall Street Target
$65.70
(+56.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.5%
Profit Margin
-30.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.68
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$35.58
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$32.74
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$41.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.9%)
$85.84
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 19.9%)
$72.47
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 19.9%)
$61.60
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$53.91
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 11:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$149 | 64 BUY |
|
CG
Carlyle Group Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$52 | 73 BUY |
|
ARES
Ares Management LP |
BUY
20 analysts |
$145 | 57 HOLD |
|
TPG
TPG Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$58 | 60 HOLD |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$21 | 69 BUY |
Advanced STEP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STEP price and gamma walls.
