STEP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
$46.59
2.73 (6.22%)
▲
5d:
+4.34%
30d:
+13.27%
90d:
-11.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STEP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STEP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.14
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.94
23.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $46.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.16 to $44.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.50 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: STEP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.50 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.16 -
$44.25
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($66.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.16 -
$44.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.00
Resistance Level
$46.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.58
Wall Street Target
$66.50
(+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.5%
Profit Margin
-26.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.79
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$41.17
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$38.70
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$46.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 19.9%)
$89.60
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 19.9%)
$80.31
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 19.9%)
$68.27
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$56.16
(+20.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STEP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STEP price and gamma walls.
