StepStone Group (STEP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STEP - StepStone Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$48.92
-0.42 (-0.85%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.91%
30d: +1.7%
90d: +15.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: STEP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.82
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.12
18.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STEP is currently trading at $48.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.27 to $51.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STEP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: STEP scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.12 (+43.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $48.27 - $51.02
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 16th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.3% below Wall St target ($70.12)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $48.27 - $51.02
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$3.11 (6.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.67
Resistance Level $52.46
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.51
Wall Street Target $70.13 (+43.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.5%
Profit Margin -30.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 22.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.91 (-4%)
2-Year Target $44.99 (-8%)
3-Year Target $43.15 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→22) $48.87 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.9%) $87.18 (+78%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 19.9%) $84.33 (+72%)
Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 19.9%) $71.68 (+47%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 22.1
Stabilization Target: $55.41 (+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.3%
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Last updated: September 14, 2026 1:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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