Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRL - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Common Stock
$412.96
0.71 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
-8.85%
30d:
-20.06%
90d:
-42.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1257.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$780.96
47.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRL is currently trading at $412.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $478.11 to $527.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 116.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $397.99, while resistance sits at $535.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $836.71 (+102.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $397.99, while resistance sits at $535.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $836.71 (+102.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$478.11 -
$527.67
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 102.6% below Wall St target ($836.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$478.11 -
$527.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$397.99
Resistance Level
$535.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.98
Wall Street Target
$836.71
(+102.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
90.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
116.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 28.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$371.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$334.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$301.05
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→28)
$527.34
(+28%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.0%)
$1101.37
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 29.0%)
$886.45
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 29.0%)
$753.48
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.88
Bull Case
$844.06
(+104%)
Analyst growth 86.1%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$767.33
(+86%)
Market implied 86.1%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$280.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$723.38
(+75.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+75.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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