STRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRL - Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Common Stock
$660.04
-22.25 (-3.26%)
▼
5d:
-7.96%
30d:
-14.31%
90d:
+47.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1335.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$829.18
20.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRL is currently trading at $660.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $723.63 to $900.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (31.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $760.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $941.17 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $760.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $941.17 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$723.63 -
$900.48
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($941.17)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$723.63 -
$900.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$87.82
(13.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$760.00
Resistance Level
$1005.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.06
Wall Street Target
$941.17
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
91.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
141.4%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 31.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$606.58
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$557.44
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$512.29
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→31)
$659.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 42.1%)
$1891.91
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.1%)
$1712.44
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 42.1%)
$1455.57
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.09 | Forward EPS (Implied): $19.45
Bull Case
$823.87
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case
$682.29
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case
$521.95
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 31.0
Stabilization Target:
$850.33
(+28.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Cutillo
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-23
Joseph A Cutillo
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-25
Dana C O'brien
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-09
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