StubHub (STUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STUB - StubHub Holdings, Inc.

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
$6.03
0.08 (1.34%) ▲
5d: -7.66%
30d: -29.39%
90d: -43.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your STUB Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $6.60 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.45
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.11
15.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STUB is currently trading at $6.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.15 to $8.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STUB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.83, while resistance sits at $6.85.

Market Sentiment: STUB scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.29 (+87.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $6.15 - $8.36
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 87.3% below Wall St target ($11.29)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.15 - $8.36
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.83
Resistance Level $6.85
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.10
Wall Street Target $11.29 (+87.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.2%
Profit Margin -91.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.93 (-2%)
2-Year Target $5.84 (-3%)
3-Year Target $5.75 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $6.00 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.8%) $24.16 (+301%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 21.8%) $10.90 (+81%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 21.8%) $9.27 (+54%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target: $6.29 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Michael Fitzgerald SELL 1619 shares 2026-04-13

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Advanced STUB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STUB price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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