Stevanato Group S.p.A. (STVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STVN - Stevanato Group S.p.A.
$19.98
-1.00 (-4.77%)
▼
5d:
-6.55%
30d:
-3.52%
90d:
+5.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STVN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.09
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.55
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STVN is currently trading at $19.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.61 to $22.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STVN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: STVN scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.68 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STVN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: STVN scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.68 (+23.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.61 -
$22.08
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($24.68)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 7.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.61 -
$22.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.51
Resistance Level
$23.25
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.74
Wall Street Target
$24.68
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.5%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.7 vs 22.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.28
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$20.58
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$20.89
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.7, Growth: 19.5%)
$34.13
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.5%)
$29.33
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 19.5%)
$24.93
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$35.31
(+77%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 42.0
Base Case
$32.10
(+61%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 38.2
Bear Case
$14.27
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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