Sunrise Realty Trust (SUNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUNS - Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc. Common Stock
$6.20
-0.08 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-13.77%
30d:
-16.89%
90d:
-24.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SUNS is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SUNS is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.40
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.46
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUNS is currently trading at $6.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.91 to $7.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.3) compared to its historical average (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUNS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUNS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.88 (+75.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUNS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SUNS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.88 (+75.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.65
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.4% below Wall St target ($10.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.16
Resistance Level
$7.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.30
Wall Street Target
$10.88
(+75.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
58.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.3 vs 6.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.75
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$5.33
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$4.94
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$6.15
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.3%)
$30.35
(+390%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$7.88
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.5, Growth: 8.3%)
$6.70
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$8.69
(+40%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$7.90
(+27%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$4.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.3 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$7.72
(+24.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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