Southwest Gas (SWX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$82.68
0.92 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+0.29%
30d:
-7.25%
90d:
-6.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When SWX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SWX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SWX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.83
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.41
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $82.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.18 to $89.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWX scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.75 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWX scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.75 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.18 -
$89.08
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($101.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.18 -
$89.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.32
Resistance Level
$86.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$101.75
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$75.35
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$72.34
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$81.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.3%)
$158.94
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$128.58
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 16.3%)
$109.30
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$115.11
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.3%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$104.65
(+28%)
Market implied 28.3%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$55.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$92.14
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$50 | 68 BUY |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$186 | 56 HOLD |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 41 HOLD |
|
SR
Spire Inc |
HOLD
10 analysts |
$93 | 61 BUY |
|
MDU
MDU Resources Group Inc |
BUY
5 analysts |
$24 | 64 BUY |
