SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$88.71
0.16 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
-0.21%
90d:
+3.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.62
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.66
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $88.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.75 to $89.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$86.75 -
$89.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.75 -
$89.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.47
Resistance Level
$89.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.11
Wall Street Target
$99.25
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$86.26
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$85.14
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$88.85
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.8%)
$165.35
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 15.8%)
$137.49
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 15.8%)
$116.87
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$144.21
(+63%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$131.10
(+48%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$60.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$92.41
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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