SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$89.40
-0.90 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
-3.94%
30d:
+1.01%
90d:
-4.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.70
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.85
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $89.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.70 to $92.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.43 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.43 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.70 -
$92.55
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.70 -
$92.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.31
Resistance Level
$94.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.35
Wall Street Target
$101.43
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.68
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.98
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$87.27
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$89.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$154.90
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$137.11
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$116.54
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$146.65
(+64%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$133.32
(+49%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$61.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$91.59
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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