SWX
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
Southwest Gas (SWX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$92.67
+0.62 (+0.67%)
â˛
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+7.87%
90d:
+0.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (63%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$85.34 â $92.85
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.4x
FAIR
vs 18.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$103.00
+11.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$89.13 / $94.42
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SWX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.89
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.17
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $92.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.34 to $92.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.34 -
$92.85
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$85.34 -
$92.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$89.13
Resistance Level
$94.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.35
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.2%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.77
(0%)
2-Year Target
$91.50
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$91.22
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$91.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.8%)
$162.65
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 17.8%)
$150.31
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 17.8%)
$127.76
(+39%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$124.11
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$112.83
(+23%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$62.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$92.78
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SWX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. reported Q3 2026 financial results, reaffirming full-year 2026 guidance.
Key Retail Themes:
Company Financial Performance
Full-Year Guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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