Southwest Gas (SWX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$91.08
2.66 (3.01%)
▲
5d:
+5.66%
30d:
+10.61%
90d:
-2.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
Get Alerted When SWX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.05
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.27
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $91.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.29 to $87.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SWX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.67 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SWX scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.67 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.29 -
$87.23
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.29 -
$87.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.85
Resistance Level
$91.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.57
Wall Street Target
$99.67
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.92
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$85.44
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$83.99
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$88.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$162.87
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$144.12
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$122.50
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00
Bull Case
$123.31
(+40%)
Analyst growth 25.8%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$112.10
(+27%)
Market implied 25.8%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$60.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$93.08
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$48 | 52 HOLD |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$85 | 45 HOLD |
|
MDU
MDU Resources Group Inc |
BUY
9 analysts |
$23 | 61 BUY |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 44 HOLD |
|
NJR
NewJersey Resources Corp… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$60 | 53 HOLD |
