Stock Yards Bancorp (SYBT): Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$79.64
-0.74 (-0.92%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
+5.46%
90d:
-6.28%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$76.08 â $79.82
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.6x
FAIR
vs 13.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$87.60
+10.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.78 / $83.65
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SYBT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.70
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SYBT is currently trading at $79.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.08 to $79.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SYBT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $77.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SYBT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $77.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.08 -
$79.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$76.08 -
$79.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$77.78
Resistance Level
$83.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$87.60
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$80.44
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$80.84
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$144.42
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$99.17
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$84.29
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.14
Bull Case
$100.46
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$91.33
(+15%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$54.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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