TBBK The Bancorp Inc. NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS Best National Banks Stocks 2026 →

The Bancorp (TBBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$48.40
-0.21 (-0.43%) â–ŧ
5d: +1.38% 30d: +0.02% 90d: -30.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$47.68 – $50.35
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.8x CHEAP
vs 7.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$63.33
+30.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.08 / $50.26
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TBBK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.35
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.96
16.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TBBK is currently trading at $48.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.68 to $50.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TBBK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.08, while resistance sits at $50.26.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.33 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $47.68 - $50.35
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $47.68 - $50.35
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $45.08
Resistance Level $50.26
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($63.33)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.83
Wall Street Target $63.33 (+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.7%
Profit Margin 44.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.8 vs 7.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.46 (-4%)
2-Year Target $44.61 (-8%)
3-Year Target $42.82 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $48.30 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.9%) $236.65 (+389%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 18.9%) $81.34 (+68%)
Bear: (PE: 5.8, Growth: 18.9%) $69.14 (+43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.66
Bull Case $66.98 (+38%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case $60.89 (+26%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case $33.05 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 7.7
Stabilization Target: $54.59 (+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TBBK)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Owls Nest Partners sold its entire stake in nCino, worth $29.79 million, raising concerns for investors. The software provider's shares have fallen significantly despite strong earnings.
Key Retail Themes: investor sentiment company earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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