What is the fair value of TBLA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TBLA to be between $3.57 and $4.34. The current price is $3.80.

What is the analyst price target for TBLA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TBLA is $5.80. This implies a potential upside of 55.5% from current levels.

TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$3.80

0.07 (1.88%) ▲

5d: -1.81%

30d: -2.06%

90d: -19.66%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 10, 2026 at $3.73 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 3.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: TBLA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -48.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$1.65

Based on -22.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$1.02

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $3.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.57 to $4.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.65, while resistance sits at $3.93.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.80 (+55.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $3.57 - $4.34

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($5.80)
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.57 - $4.34

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.65

Resistance Level $3.93

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.82

Wall Street Target $5.80 (+55.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 77.1%

Profit Margin 6.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -17.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 21.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -17.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.36 (-10%)

2-Year Target $3.02 (-19%)

3-Year Target $2.72 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→21) $4.88 (+31%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -48.3%) $4.64 (+24%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: -48.3%) $2.72 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: -48.3%) $2.31 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 9.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38

Bull Case $3.39 (-9%)

Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 10.7

Base Case $3.08 (-17%)

Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 9.8

Bear Case $2.52 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 21.2

Stabilization Target: $6.69 (+79.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +79.3%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM

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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.

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