TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$3.32
-0.04 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-3.77%
30d:
-10.99%
90d:
-35.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TBLA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TBLA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.59
Based on -22.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $3.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.49 to $3.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TBLA scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.80 (+74.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TBLA scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.80 (+74.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.49 -
$3.83
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TBLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.7% below Wall St target ($5.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.49 -
$3.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.27
Resistance Level
$3.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.52
Wall Street Target
$5.80
(+74.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.1%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.69
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→20)
$4.69
(+41%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -48.3%)
$4.69
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: -48.3%)
$2.42
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: -48.3%)
$2.06
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$2.99
(-10%)
Analyst growth -19.1%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$2.72
(-18%)
Market implied -19.1%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$2.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$6.44
(+93.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+93.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TBLA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.
