TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$5.01
-0.09 (-1.76%)
▼
5d:
+3.94%
30d:
-3.65%
90d:
+33.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TBLA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TBLA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.64
Based on -29.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $5.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.78 to $5.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.74, while resistance sits at $5.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.79 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.74, while resistance sits at $5.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.79 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.78 -
$5.44
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.78 -
$5.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.74
Resistance Level
$5.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.59
Wall Street Target
$5.79
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.1%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.97
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.94
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$4.91
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$5.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: -63.2%)
$3.65
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -63.2%)
$3.51
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -63.2%)
$2.98
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$3.72
(-26%)
Analyst growth -33.7%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$3.38
(-33%)
Market implied -33.7%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$3.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.10
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TBLA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.
