TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$3.73
0.05 (1.36%) ▲
5d: -7.9%
30d: -22.45%
90d: -24.34%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TBLA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.70
Based on -22.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $3.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.99 to $5.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TBLA scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.46 (+48.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $3.99 - $5.28
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.3% below Wall St target ($5.46)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.99 - $5.28
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.63
Resistance Level $4.17
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.66
Wall Street Target $5.46 (+48.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 77.1%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 21.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.31 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.98 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.68 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→22) $5.01 (+36%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -48.3%) $4.62 (+25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -48.3%) $2.68 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: -48.3%) $2.28 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case $3.43 (-8%)
Analyst growth -19.1%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case $3.12 (-16%)
Market implied -19.1%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case $2.62 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 21.8
Stabilization Target: $6.88 (+86.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +86.9%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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