BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TCPC - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Common Stock
$3.92
-0.20 (-4.74%)
▼
5d:
-5.89%
30d:
-2.12%
90d:
+23.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
Get Alerted When TCPC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TCPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TCPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.04
Based on -16.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TCPC is currently trading at $3.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.96 to $4.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TCPC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: TCPC scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.96 -
$4.10
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.96 -
$4.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.94
Resistance Level
$4.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.90
Wall Street Target
$4.50
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
-61.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 6.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.71
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$5.41
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$6.20
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.13
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -36.6%)
$6.01
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -36.6%)
$3.00
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -36.6%)
$2.00
(-51%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$149 | 69 BUY |
|
ARES
Ares Management LP |
BUY
20 analysts |
$145 | 65 BUY |
|
TPG
TPG Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$58 | 62 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$1337 | 38 SELL |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$50 | 63 BUY |
