TCPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TCPC - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Common Stock
$4.03
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
+28.75%
90d:
+8.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TCPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TCPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.92
Based on -16.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TCPC is currently trading at $4.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.16 to $3.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.84, while resistance sits at $4.25.
Market Sentiment: TCPC scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TCPC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.84, while resistance sits at $4.25.
Market Sentiment: TCPC scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.16 -
$3.93
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 18.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.16 -
$3.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.84
Resistance Level
$4.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.71
Wall Street Target
$4.33
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
-61.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 5.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.77
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$5.65
(+40%)
3-Year Target
$6.69
(+66%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.00
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -36.6%)
$6.07
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -36.6%)
$2.94
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -36.6%)
$1.75
(-57%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:37 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Patrick Wolfe
BUY
6850 shares
2026-03-13
Patrick Wolfe
BUY
2075 shares
2026-03-13
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