TDY Teledyne Technologies Incorporated SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS

Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$643.73
-3.84 (-0.59%) ▼
5d: +4.06% 30d: +3.84% 90d: -4.95%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$611.37 – $654.51
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.2x FAIR
vs 23.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$770.08
+19.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$589.17 / $670.45
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$899.23
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$558.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDY is currently trading at $643.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $611.37 to $654.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $589.17, while resistance sits at $670.45.

Market Sentiment: TDY scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $770.08 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $611.37 - $654.51
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $611.37 - $654.51
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$24.29 (3.8%)
Support Level $589.17
Resistance Level $670.45
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($770.08)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.21
Wall Street Target $770.08 (+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.2%
Profit Margin 15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 23.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $637.29 (-1%)
2-Year Target $630.92 (-2%)
3-Year Target $624.61 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→24) $643.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.2, Growth: 8.6%) $825.35 (+28%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%) $706.27 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.6%) $600.33 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.84
Bull Case $904.66 (+41%)
Analyst growth 27.0%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case $822.42 (+28%)
Market implied 27.0%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case $440.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 23.9
Stabilization Target: $662.91 (+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.0%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TDY)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Rocket Lab's ($TDY) Optical Systems business is expanding its space systems portfolio, focusing on advanced electro-optical and infrared sensor payloads for national security space missions. This could provide the company with additional growth opportunities and diversify its offerings.
Key Retail Themes: Expansion of Rocket Lab's space systems portfolio Potential growth opportunities in national security space market
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 5:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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