TGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.55
-0.32 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-9.49%
30d:
-17.65%
90d:
-23.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$23.28 – $26.74
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.9x
CHEAP
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$40.25
+86.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.34 / $25.64
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.70
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.37
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGS is currently trading at $21.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.28 to $26.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TGS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+86.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TGS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+86.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.28 -
$26.74
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.28 -
$26.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$21.34
Resistance Level
$25.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 86.8% below Wall St target ($40.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$40.25
(+86.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Profit Margin
26.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$22.35
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$77.75
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$30.82
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$26.19
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$24.76
(+15%)
Analyst growth 2.9%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$22.51
(+4%)
Market implied 2.9%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$14.87
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$30.66
(+42.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.3%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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