Target Hospitality (TH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TH - Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock
$19.25
0.13 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+3.83%
30d:
+19.27%
90d:
+8.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.86
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $19.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.37 to $18.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (33.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.80, while resistance sits at $20.47.
Market Sentiment: TH scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.60 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.80, while resistance sits at $20.47.
Market Sentiment: TH scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.60 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.37 -
$18.87
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($24.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.37 -
$18.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.80
Resistance Level
$20.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.08
Wall Street Target
$24.60
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 33.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→33)
$21.96
(+14%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 33.0
Stabilization Target:
$30.13
(+56.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.
