Target Hospitality (TH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TH - Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock
$18.84
-1.64 (-8.01%)
▼
5d:
-8.45%
30d:
+2.45%
90d:
+6.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: TH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: TH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.86
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $18.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.15 to $20.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (31.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.20 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.20 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.15 -
$20.59
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($25.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.15 -
$20.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.65
Resistance Level
$21.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.64
Wall Street Target
$25.20
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 31.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.96
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→32)
$21.10
(+12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 31.7
Stabilization Target:
$28.94
(+53.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.
