TH Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock HOTELS, ROOMING HOUSES, CAMPS & OTHER LODGING PLACES

Target Hospitality (TH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$12.05
+0.24 (+2.08%) ▲
5d: +15.6% 30d: -30.21% 90d: -30.93%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$12.13 – $17.51
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.0x CHEAP
vs 29.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.40
+106.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.80 / $14.54
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: TH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 10, 2026 at $10.46 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.91
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.81
39.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $12.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.13 to $17.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.80, while resistance sits at $14.54.

Market Sentiment: TH scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.40 (+106.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.13 - $17.51
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $12.13 - $17.51
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $9.80
Resistance Level $14.54
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Holding TH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 106.8% below Wall St target ($24.40)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.95
Wall Street Target $24.40 (+106.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -59.1%
Profit Margin -12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -23.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.0 vs 29.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -23.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.62 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.56 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.60 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→29) $19.32 (+64%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 29.1
Stabilization Target: $26.51 (+124.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +124.6%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TH)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment dominates $TH on StockTwits, with one user predicting an economic slowdown and a bear market due to inflation, geopolitical tensions, and potential AI sector downturn.
Key Retail Themes: economic slowdown bear market inflation geopolitical tensions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Technical Signals Check

Is TH showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.

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