Talen Energy (TLN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLN - Talen Energy Corporation Common Stock
$331.42
-28.07 (-7.81%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.27%
30d:
+10.35%
90d:
-7.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When TLN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$784.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$487.21
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $331.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $296.84 to $362.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $326.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $457.06 (+37.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $326.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $457.06 (+37.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$296.84 -
$362.20
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($457.06)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$296.84 -
$362.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$326.00
Resistance Level
$390.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$457.06
(+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
111.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$310.21
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$290.36
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$271.77
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â13)
$330.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.4%)
$1703.14
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 40.4%)
$916.98
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 40.4%)
$779.44
(+135%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$402.93
(+21.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Independent Power Producers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Independent Power Producers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CEG
Constellation Energy Corp |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$338 | 44 HOLD |
|
VST
Vistra Corp. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$210 | 40 SELL |
|
OKLO
Oklo Inc. |
BUY
23 analysts |
$75 | 62 BUY |
|
NRG
NRG Energy Inc. |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$185 | 42 HOLD |
|
TAC
TransAlta Corp |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 49 HOLD |
Advanced TLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TLN price and gamma walls.