TLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLN - Talen Energy Corporation Common Stock
$438.12
1.83 (0.42%)
▲
5d:
+21.52%
30d:
+27.19%
90d:
+44.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TLN is 11.0% above its trading range ($394.71). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TLN is 11.0% above its trading range ($394.71). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$832.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$516.94
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $438.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $343.46 to $394.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $391.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $391.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$343.46 -
$394.71
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($473.97)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$343.46 -
$394.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$343.62
Resistance Level
$391.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.24
Wall Street Target
$473.97
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$441.62
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$445.16
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$448.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$437.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.8%)
$1498.93
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 30.8%)
$980.34
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 30.8%)
$833.29
(+90%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TLN price and gamma walls.