TLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLN - Talen Energy Corporation Common Stock
$334.10
1.56 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
-7.17%
30d:
-7.4%
90d:
-10.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TLN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TLN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$760.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$472.03
29.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $334.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $358.15 to $404.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $312.89, while resistance sits at $381.50.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $468.75 (+40.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $312.89, while resistance sits at $381.50.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $468.75 (+40.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$358.15 -
$404.97
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($468.75)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$358.15 -
$404.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$312.89
Resistance Level
$381.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.73
Wall Street Target
$468.75
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$317.40
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$301.53
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$286.45
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$334.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 36.3%)
$1496.64
(+348%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 36.3%)
$846.51
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 36.3%)
$719.53
(+115%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$390.38
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced TLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TLN price and gamma walls.