Talen Energy (TLN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$378.71
+17.53 (+4.85%)
â˛
5d:
+15.89%
30d:
-0.9%
90d:
+5.67%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$330.35 â $367.11
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
FAIR
vs 12.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$453.82
+19.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$306.09 / $384.50
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $336.44 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$767.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$476.29
20.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $378.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.35 to $367.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $384.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.81 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $384.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.81 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$330.35 -
$367.11
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$330.35 -
$367.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$306.09
Resistance Level
$384.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($453.81)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.40
Wall Street Target
$453.82
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.2%
Profit Margin
-5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$373.79
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$368.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$364.13
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â13)
$378.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.7%)
$2046.68
(+440%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 79.7%)
$1278.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 79.7%)
$1086.42
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$393.90
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TLN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CIBC raises target price for $TLN to $515 from $493 following strong Q3 earnings and cash flow guidance.
Key Retail Themes:
Price target increase
Strong earnings and cash flow
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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