What is the fair value of CEG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CEG to be between $269.67 and $288.21. The current price is $259.89.

What is the analyst price target for CEG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CEG is $348.30. This implies a potential upside of 34.0% from current levels.

Constellation Energy (CEG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CEG - Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES

$259.89

-4.68 (-1.77%) ▼

5d: -13.09%

30d: -8.0%

90d: -0.94%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 06, 2026

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

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Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $285.05 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CEG is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$427.21

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$265.26

2.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CEG is currently trading at $259.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.67 to $288.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CEG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $259.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $348.30 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $269.67 - $288.21

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($348.30)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $269.67 - $288.21

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $259.61

Resistance Level $305.80

Current Trend Support Break

Technical data as of Sep 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.48

Wall Street Target $348.30 (+34.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -46.8%

Profit Margin 11.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 22.8 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $246.64 (-5%)

2-Year Target $234.06 (-10%)

3-Year Target $222.12 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→23) $259.98 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.1%) $359.51 (+38%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 10.1%) $346.86 (+34%)

Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: 10.1%) $294.83 (+13%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 25.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.22

Bull Case $379.92 (+46%)

Analyst growth 30.5%, PE expands to 28.5

Base Case $345.38 (+33%)

Market implied 30.5%, PE stable at 25.9

Bear Case $179.91 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.5 to 22.8

Stabilization Target: $304.19 (+17.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +17.0%

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Last updated: September 15, 2026 10:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 PM

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