What is the fair value of CEG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CEG to be between $269.29 and $287.54. The current price is $284.75.

What is the analyst price target for CEG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CEG is $348.30. This implies a potential upside of 22.3% from current levels.

Constellation Energy (CEG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CEG - Constellation Energy Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES

$284.75

-1.22 (-0.43%) ▼

5d: -0.11%

30d: +2.18%

90d: +15.42%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

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Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $285.05 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CEG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$427.21

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$265.26

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CEG is currently trading at $284.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $269.29 to $287.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CEG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $268.00, while resistance sits at $305.80.

Market Sentiment: CEG scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $348.30 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $269.29 - $287.54

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 42.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($348.30)
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $269.29 - $287.54

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $268.00

Resistance Level $305.80

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.34

Wall Street Target $348.30 (+22.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -46.8%

Profit Margin 11.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 22.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $278.49 (-2%)

2-Year Target $272.36 (-4%)

3-Year Target $266.37 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→23) $284.55 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.3, Growth: 10.1%) $380.04 (+34%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.1%) $359.15 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.1%) $305.28 (+7%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 27.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.24

Bull Case $409.85 (+44%)

Analyst growth 30.3%, PE expands to 30.7

Base Case $372.59 (+31%)

Market implied 30.3%, PE stable at 27.9

Bear Case $194.46 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 22.8

Stabilization Target: $304.19 (+6.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +6.8%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-19

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