TMDX
TransMedics Group, Inc. Common Stock
ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS
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TransMedics Group (TMDX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$92.01
+1.07 (+1.17%)
▲
5d:
+26.47%
30d:
+16.27%
90d:
+2.64%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect TMDX Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$68.17 – $82.67
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
37.0x
FAIR
vs 33.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$104.55
+13.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.64 / $97.56
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TMDX is 11.3% above its trading range ($82.67). Market expects 3.4% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $87.32 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TMDX is currently trading at $92.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.17 to $82.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.0) compared to its historical average (33.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMDX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $64.64, while resistance sits at $97.56.
Market Sentiment: TMDX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.55 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMDX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $64.64, while resistance sits at $97.56.
Market Sentiment: TMDX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.55 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.17 -
$82.67
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$68.17 -
$82.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$64.64
Resistance Level
$97.56
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TMDX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.01
Wall Street Target
$104.55
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
37.0 vs 33.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.14
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$98.37
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$101.72
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.0, Growth: 48.9%)
$304.05
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 48.9%)
$163.14
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 48.9%)
$138.67
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.67
Bull Case
$69.88
(-23%)
Analyst growth -32.3%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$63.53
(-30%)
Market implied -32.3%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$63.78
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TMDX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $TMDX intensifies on StockTwits with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Absence of new news
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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