Travel + Leisure (TNL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNL - Travel + Leisure Co.
$66.74
1.38 (2.11%)
▲
5d:
+0.51%
30d:
-10.63%
90d:
-9.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Get Alerted When TNL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TNL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.14
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.80
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNL is currently trading at $66.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.59 to $75.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.07, while resistance sits at $72.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.85 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.07, while resistance sits at $72.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.85 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.59 -
$75.88
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($90.85)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.59 -
$75.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.07
Resistance Level
$72.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.45
Wall Street Target
$90.85
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.34
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$60.11
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$57.04
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$66.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.8%)
$295.38
(+343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 17.8%)
$109.08
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 17.8%)
$92.71
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$143.79
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case
$130.72
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$44.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$77.96
(+16.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erik D Hoag
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-23
Michael Dean Brown
SELL
9443 shares
2026-04-17
Michael Dean Brown
SELL
1109 shares
2026-04-16
Top Rated Travel Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Travel Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd ADR |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$60 | 37 SELL |
|
CCL
Carnival Corporation |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$35 | 52 HOLD |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc |
BUY
39 analysts |
$239 | 54 HOLD |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$347 | 52 HOLD |
|
EXPE
Expedia Group Inc. |
HOLD
37 analysts |
$340 | 55 HOLD |
