TPC
Tutor Perini Corporation
GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - NONRESIDENTIAL BLDGS
Tutor Perini (TPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$101.34
+3.91 (+4.01%)
▲
5d:
+21.91%
30d:
+21.72%
90d:
+7.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$77.35 – $89.43
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.6x
FAIR
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$118.00
+16.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$78.00 / $101.98
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TPC is 13.3% above its trading range ($89.43). Market expects 3.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.44
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPC is currently trading at $101.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.35 to $89.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $101.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $101.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TPC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.35 -
$89.43
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$77.35 -
$89.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$78.00
Resistance Level
$101.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($118.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.55
Wall Street Target
$118.00
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
466.5%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.19
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$109.19
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$113.34
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$101.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$166.45
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.8%)
$130.34
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$110.79
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$214.35
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$194.86
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$66.25
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TPC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages show 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $TPC with mentions of uptrend and trend strength.
Key Retail Themes:
Uptrend
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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