Tutor Perini (TPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPC - Tutor Perini Corporation
$89.13
2.90 (3.36%)
▲
5d:
+2.07%
30d:
-7.29%
90d:
+21.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TPC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.95
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPC is currently trading at $89.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.71 to $95.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.84, while resistance sits at $92.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.25 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.84, while resistance sits at $92.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.25 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$86.71 -
$95.15
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($116.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.71 -
$95.15
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.18
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.84
Resistance Level
$92.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.69
Wall Street Target
$116.25
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
224.7%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.65
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$92.19
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$93.75
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.69
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$175.80
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$128.06
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$108.85
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$189.71
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.8
Base Case
$172.46
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$58.64
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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