TPVG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPVG - TRIPLEPOINT VENTURE GROWTH BDC CORP.
$5.38
-0.16 (-2.89%)
▼
5d:
-5.11%
30d:
-4.1%
90d:
+2.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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1 traders called TPVG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPVG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPVG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.99
Based on -5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPVG is currently trading at $5.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.40 to $5.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPVG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPVG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.40 -
$5.78
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.40 -
$5.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.46
Resistance Level
$5.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.74
Wall Street Target
$5.88
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
47.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$5.47
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$5.51
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -14.4%)
$12.75
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: -14.4%)
$3.92
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: -14.4%)
$3.33
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$4.74
(-15%)
Analyst growth -24.0%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case
$4.31
(-22%)
Market implied -24.0%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$3.86
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPVG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
20
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Sajal Srivastava
BUY
23799 shares
2026-01-12
James Labe
BUY
23799 shares
2026-01-12
James Labe
BUY
16000 shares
2026-01-09
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