TRIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIN - Trinity Capital Inc. Common Stock
$17.56
-0.04 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
+3.29%
90d:
+16.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.10
Based on -6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIN is currently trading at $17.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.81 to $17.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.81 -
$17.57
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 32.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.81 -
$17.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.68
Resistance Level
$17.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$17.92
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.1%
Profit Margin
46.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.14
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$18.74
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$19.36
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -17.2%)
$45.24
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -17.2%)
$17.47
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -17.2%)
$14.85
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$21.39
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$19.44
(+11%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$11.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ronald E Estes
BUY
800 shares
2026-03-16
Kyle Steven Brown
BUY
3532 shares
2026-03-16
Steve Louis Brown
BUY
27109 shares
2026-03-12
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