Trustmark (TRMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$45.56
+0.16 (+0.35%)
â˛
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
+2.2%
90d:
-5.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$44.47 â $45.74
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.6x
FAIR
vs 10.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$49.80
+9.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$44.03 / $48.26
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRMK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.90
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $45.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.47 to $45.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.02, while resistance sits at $48.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.02, while resistance sits at $48.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.47 -
$45.74
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$44.47 -
$45.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$44.03
Resistance Level
$48.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.61
Wall Street Target
$49.80
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$44.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$44.61
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
$45.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$107.04
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 7.9%)
$57.17
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$48.59
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.00
Bull Case
$53.62
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$48.75
(+7%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$30.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.39
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TRMK)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment ahead of $TRMK earnings report, citing a strong earnings beat track record. No recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Trader's bullish sentiment
Strong earnings beat track record
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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