TRMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$46.13
-0.26 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
+1.59%
90d:
+2.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.36
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $46.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.89 to $46.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.89 -
$46.43
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.89 -
$46.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.84
Resistance Level
$45.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$47.65
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.18
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$47.98
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$48.80
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.11
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.8%)
$102.63
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.8%)
$53.36
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.8%)
$45.35
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$55.31
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.7%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$50.28
(+8%)
Market implied 8.7%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$31.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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