Trustmark (TRMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$46.35
1.06 (2.34%)
â˛
5d:
+3.3%
30d:
+1.44%
90d:
-0.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRMK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRMK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.75
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $46.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.60 to $46.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $46.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMK scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $46.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMK scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.60 -
$46.47
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.60 -
$46.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.92
Resistance Level
$46.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.70
Wall Street Target
$50.50
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.16
(0%)
2-Year Target
$45.98
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$45.80
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
$46.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$108.60
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$58.49
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$49.72
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$54.79
(+18%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$49.81
(+8%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$30.80
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.80
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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