TRMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$46.52
-0.06 (-0.13%)
▼
5d:
-3.67%
30d:
+0.87%
90d:
+4.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.03
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $46.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.55 to $48.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.55 -
$48.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.55 -
$48.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.08
Resistance Level
$48.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$49.25
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.16
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$47.82
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$48.49
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.4%)
$93.75
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$52.86
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$44.93
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case
$55.28
(+19%)
Analyst growth 5.4%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$50.26
(+8%)
Market implied 5.4%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$32.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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