Trustmark (TRMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$45.93
0.85 (1.89%)
▲
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+0.24%
90d:
-1.33%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRMK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRMK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.40
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $45.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.46 to $46.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.88, while resistance sits at $47.54.
Market Sentiment: TRMK scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.88, while resistance sits at $47.54.
Market Sentiment: TRMK scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.46 -
$46.84
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.46 -
$46.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.88
Resistance Level
$47.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.61
Wall Street Target
$50.50
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$45.20
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$44.84
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$46.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$111.87
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$58.19
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$49.46
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.93
Bull Case
$54.61
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.1%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$49.65
(+8%)
Market implied 10.1%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$30.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$47.18
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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