Trustmark (TRMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$46.98
-0.47 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
+2.0%
30d:
-2.37%
90d:
+3.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.78
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $46.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.95 to $47.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.95 -
$47.92
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.95 -
$47.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.89
Resistance Level
$47.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.23
Wall Street Target
$49.85
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.50
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$48.02
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$48.55
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$99.72
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$55.52
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$47.19
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$53.13
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$48.30
(+3%)
Market implied 1.8%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$32.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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