Transcat (TRNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$90.39
0.21 (0.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.03%
30d:
+5.65%
90d:
-1.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRNS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRNS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $90.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.72 to $89.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.8) compared to its historical average (37.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRNS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRNS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$83.72 -
$89.07
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with 21.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.72 -
$89.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.50
Resistance Level
$92.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.77
Wall Street Target
$104.33
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
43.8 vs 37.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.45
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$100.80
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$106.44
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$133.67
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$62.30
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$52.95
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (44x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 50.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case
$109.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.3
Base Case
$90.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 50.8
Bear Case
$69.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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