TRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRNS - Transcat Inc

INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS
$92.50
0.99 (1.08%) ▲
5d: -1.28%
30d: +5.94%
90d: +30.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TRNS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $92.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.92 to $93.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.8) compared to its historical average (36.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.20, while resistance sits at $100.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $85.92 - $93.88
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 21.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.92 - $93.88
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.20
Resistance Level $100.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.79
Wall Street Target $104.33 (+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.0%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium
PE vs Historical 44.8 vs 36.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $99.16 (+7%)
2-Year Target $106.30 (+15%)
3-Year Target $113.95 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45→36) PE COMPRESSION $92.60 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 44.8, Growth: 13.9%) $136.79 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.9%) $61.29 (-34%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%) $52.10 (-44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 52.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.77
Bull Case $111.69 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 55.0
Base Case $92.50 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 52.4
Bear Case $70.76 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 47.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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