TRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRNS - Transcat Inc

INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS
$90.20
-0.36 (-0.40%) ▼
5d: +12.3%
30d: +27.82%
90d: +13.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TRNS is 9.3% above its trading range ($82.54). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $90.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.46 to $82.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.7) compared to its historical average (33.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TRNS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.33 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $71.46 - $82.54
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.3% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.5% growth with 15.8% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $71.46 - $82.54
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.90
Resistance Level $90.85
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.68
Wall Street Target $101.33 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -58.3%
Profit Margin 1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium
PE vs Historical 43.7 vs 33.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.77 (+10%)
2-Year Target $108.15 (+20%)
3-Year Target $118.43 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44→33) PE COMPRESSION $90.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.7, Growth: 13.9%) $133.39 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 13.9%) $66.91 (-26%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 13.9%) $56.87 (-37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 39.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.00
Bull Case $95.34 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case $78.96 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case $60.40 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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