Transcat (TRNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$81.92
0.08 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+1.95%
30d:
-4.89%
90d:
-4.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $81.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.59 to $89.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 39.7) is in line with its historical norms (37.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.30, while resistance sits at $87.62.
Market Sentiment: TRNS scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.30, while resistance sits at $87.62.
Market Sentiment: TRNS scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+27.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.59 -
$89.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($104.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 21.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.59 -
$89.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.30
Resistance Level
$87.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.67
Wall Street Target
$104.33
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
39.7 vs 37.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.48
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$85.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$86.68
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$121.15
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$60.65
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$51.55
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 50.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.61
Bull Case
$98.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.3
Base Case
$81.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 50.8
Bear Case
$62.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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