Transcat (TRNS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$84.31
1.95 (2.37%)
▲
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
-13.76%
90d:
-7.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRNS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRNS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $84.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.27 to $93.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.8) compared to its historical average (36.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.71, while resistance sits at $91.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.71, while resistance sits at $91.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.33 (+23.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$85.27 -
$93.80
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($104.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with 21.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.27 -
$93.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.71
Resistance Level
$91.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.83
Wall Street Target
$104.33
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
40.8 vs 36.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.26
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$90.31
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$93.48
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$124.68
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$61.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$52.36
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.39 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case
$101.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 49.8
Base Case
$84.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.4
Bear Case
$64.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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