TROW T Rowe Price Group Inc INVESTMENT ADVICE Best Investment Advisory Stocks 2026 →

T Rowe Price Group (TROW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$110.69
-0.21 (-0.19%) ▼
5d: -1.67% 30d: +9.17% 90d: -0.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$101.60 – $107.42
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x FAIR
vs 10.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$105.38
-4.8% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$102.41 / $114.38
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TROW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 28, 2026 at $104.00 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.35
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.14
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TROW is currently trading at $110.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.60 to $107.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TROW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.41, while resistance sits at $114.38.

Market Sentiment: TROW scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $101.60 - $107.42
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $101.60 - $107.42
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $102.41
Resistance Level $114.38
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Holding TROW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.38)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 5.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.91
Wall Street Target $105.38 (-4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.8%
Profit Margin 28.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 10.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $112.90 (+2%)
2-Year Target $115.16 (+4%)
3-Year Target $117.47 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $110.87 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.4%) $192.86 (+74%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -1.4%) $105.97 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 9.3, Growth: -1.4%) $90.07 (-19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.88
Bull Case $125.24 (+13%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case $113.86 (+3%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case $75.41 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TROW)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Franklin Templeton's Q4 earnings beat estimates, with higher revenues and AUM, leading to a bullish sentiment on $TROW.
Key Retail Themes: Strong earnings report Positive sentiment towards $TROW
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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