TROW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TROW - T Rowe Price Group Inc
$111.51
-0.68 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
+0.86%
30d:
-2.99%
90d:
+9.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TROW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TROW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TROW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$206.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.03
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TROW is currently trading at $111.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.82 to $117.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TROW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TROW scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TROW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TROW scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.82 -
$117.93
Company Quality Score
75/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.82 -
$117.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.40
Resistance Level
$115.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.91
Wall Street Target
$109.92
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$116.95
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$119.41
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.70
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 75.6%)
$211.04
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 75.6%)
$114.75
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 75.6%)
$97.54
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.13
Bull Case
$125.28
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$113.90
(+2%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$76.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TROW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-20
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$127 | 42 HOLD |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1314 | 44 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$50 | 51 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$142 | 48 HOLD |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced TROW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TROW price and gamma walls.
