T Rowe Price Group (TROW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TROW - T Rowe Price Group Inc
$103.45
0.16 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
-1.07%
90d:
-11.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When TROW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TROW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TROW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.16
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TROW is currently trading at $103.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.97 to $105.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TROW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TROW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TROW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TROW scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$101.97 -
$105.11
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.92)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.97 -
$105.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.04
Resistance Level
$105.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$105.92
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
29.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.04
(0%)
2-Year Target
$102.62
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$102.21
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$103.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.7%)
$204.59
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 29.7%)
$104.37
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 29.7%)
$88.72
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.96
Bull Case
$116.47
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$105.89
(+2%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$70.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$105.17
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TROW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc. |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$122 | 68 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$140 | 64 BUY |
|
TPG
TPG Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$58 | 62 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$1337 | 38 SELL |
|
CG
Carlyle Group Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$52 | 66 BUY |
Advanced TROW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TROW price and gamma walls.
