Trimas (TRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$38.34
0.12 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
-1.31%
30d:
-2.29%
90d:
-6.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.70
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $38.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.59 to $40.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $37.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $37.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.59 -
$40.02
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.59 -
$40.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.89
Resistance Level
$39.99
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.14
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Profit Margin
136.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 21.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.31
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$34.38
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$32.56
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$38.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.0%)
$89.35
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 28.0%)
$80.34
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$68.29
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$42.52
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.1%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$38.66
(+1%)
Market implied 1.1%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$25.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$45.24
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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