Trimas (TRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$39.12
0.55 (1.43%)
â˛
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
-0.18%
90d:
-5.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TRS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.32
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $39.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.39 to $39.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$38.39 -
$39.49
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.39 -
$39.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.86
Resistance Level
$40.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.37
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Profit Margin
136.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.32
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.60
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$33.97
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â21)
$39.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 28.9%)
$92.96
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 28.9%)
$83.73
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 28.9%)
$71.17
(+82%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$43.22
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.9%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$39.29
(+0%)
Market implied 1.9%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$26.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$44.92
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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