TRS Trimas Corporation METAL FORGINGS & STAMPINGS

Trimas (TRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$38.08
+0.22 (+0.58%) ▲
5d: -3.35% 30d: -0.83% 90d: -1.6%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$38.20 – $39.51
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.1x CHEAP
vs 20.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$45.00
+18.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.19 / $40.88
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

Get Alerted When TRS Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.87
28.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $38.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.20 to $39.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TRS scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $38.20 - $39.51
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $38.20 - $39.51
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $37.19
Resistance Level $40.88
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.12
Wall Street Target $45.00 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -33.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 133.2%
Profit Margin 135.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.1 vs 20.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.37 (-5%)
2-Year Target $34.73 (-9%)
3-Year Target $33.17 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→21) $38.08 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.7%) $82.95 (+118%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 25.7%) $75.66 (+99%)
Bear: (PE: 15.4, Growth: 25.7%) $64.31 (+69%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case $34.06 (-11%)
Analyst growth -18.2%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case $30.97 (-19%)
Market implied -18.2%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case $25.74 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 20.8
Stabilization Target: $43.72 (+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.8%
Share TRS Analysis

Share this live TRS analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TRS)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: TriMas Corporation ($TRS) saw a bullish sentiment on StockTwits with a three outside up candlestick pattern, while the options market indicates high implied volatility and potential big move for the stock. Zacks Investment Research suggests that analysts lowered their earnings estimates for the current quarter, making the huge implied volatility potentially a developing trade.
Key Retail Themes: Options market suggesting potential big move for TriMas stock Lowered earnings estimates from analysts
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for TRS.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Packaging & Containers Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Packaging & Containers by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc
STRONG BUY
16 analysts
$54 49 HOLD
SEE
Sealed Air Corporation
BUY
17 analysts
$45 56 HOLD
IP
International Paper
STRONG BUY
11 analysts
$42 50 HOLD
CCK
Crown Holdings Inc
STRONG BUY
14 analysts
$136 39 SELL
BALL
Ball Corporation
STRONG BUY
14 analysts
$73 45 HOLD

Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools

Part A: Deep-Dive TRS Research Pages
TRS Technical Chart TRS Price Prediction TRS Intrinsic Value DCF TRS Earnings Date TRS Investment Advisor TRS Fair Price Analyzer TRS Competitors
Part B: Tradestie Flagship Market Scanners
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals