TRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$43.10
-1.26 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
+10.23%
90d:
+22.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.51
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $43.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.92 to $42.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6895.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.92 -
$42.29
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.92 -
$42.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.79
Resistance Level
$41.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.86
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6895.6%
Profit Margin
137.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 22.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.51
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$39.97
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$38.49
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$43.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.7%)
$103.14
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.7%)
$94.05
(+118%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.7%)
$79.94
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.66
Bull Case
$52.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$43.10
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$32.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$48.39
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
60 shares
2026-03-05
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