Trimas (TRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$39.90
0.07 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+2.44%
30d:
+1.79%
90d:
-0.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TRS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.06
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $39.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.28 to $39.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.28 -
$39.38
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.28 -
$39.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.84
Resistance Level
$40.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.74
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Profit Margin
136.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$37.08
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$35.74
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$40.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.9%)
$90.50
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 28.9%)
$85.40
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 28.9%)
$72.59
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$37.92
(-5%)
Analyst growth -13.5%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$34.47
(-14%)
Market implied -13.5%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$27.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$44.71
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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