TSQ TOWNSQUARE MEDIA, INC. RADIO BROADCASTING STATIONS

TOWNSQUARE MEDIA (TSQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$1.46
-0.04 (-2.67%) β–Ό
5d: -29.81% 30d: -64.48% 90d: -74.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$2.31 – $4.26
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.6x CHEAP
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.50
+400.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.45 / $3.28
Trend: Strong Downtrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TSQ is down 29.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.64
Based on -8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.64
10.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TSQ is currently trading at $1.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.31 to $4.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 176.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TSQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+400.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $2.31 - $4.26
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $2.31 - $4.26
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $1.45
Resistance Level $3.28
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 400.0% below Wall St target ($7.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.56
Wall Street Target $7.50 (+400.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 176.7%
Profit Margin -11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -28.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.6 vs 15.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -28.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.35 (-10%)
2-Year Target $1.22 (-19%)
3-Year Target $1.09 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’15) $3.03 (+102%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -20.6%) $3.91 (+161%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: -20.6%) $1.09 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 4.7, Growth: -20.6%) $0.93 (-38%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 15.4
Stabilization Target: $4.16 (+177.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +177.2%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TSQ)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits expresses hope that $TSQ will cut its dividend, believing that the stock price could potentially double as a result.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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