Toro Company (The) (TTC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTC - Toro Company (The)

LAWN & GARDEN TRACTORS & HOME LAWN & GARDENS EQUIP
$105.32
1.97 (1.91%) ▲
5d: +4.46%
30d: +9.05%
90d: +12.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TTC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.49
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTC is currently trading at $105.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.16 to $100.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $105.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TTC scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $94.16 - $100.55
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.2%

Protect Your Profits

TTC is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($111.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $94.16 - $100.55
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.84 (3.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $95.35
Resistance Level $105.77
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.65
Wall Street Target $111.00 (+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 49.8%
Profit Margin 7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 20.7 vs 18.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $109.43 (+4%)
2-Year Target $113.70 (+8%)
3-Year Target $118.13 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→18) PE COMPRESSION $105.25 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.0%) $140.15 (+33%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.0%) $134.78 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.0%) $114.56 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case $155.03 (+47%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case $140.93 (+34%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case $70.28 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TTC Option Strategies

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