Is UBS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, UBS is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: UBS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of UBS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for UBS to be between $49.42 and $54.97. The current price is $47.57.

What is the analyst price target for UBS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for UBS is $55.03. This implies a potential upside of 15.7% from current levels.

UBS Group (UBS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UBS - UBS Group AG

National Commercial Banks

$47.57

-0.56 (-1.16%) ▼

5d: -1.84%

30d: -12.14%

90d: -6.8%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your UBS Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Get Alerted When UBS Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UBS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 21.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$89.87

Based on 12.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$55.80

14.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UBS is currently trading at $47.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.42 to $54.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: UBS scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.03 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $49.42 - $54.97

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 54.8%

Protect Your Profits

Holding UBS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.03)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.42 - $54.97

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.82

Resistance Level $51.51

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.67

Wall Street Target $55.03 (+15.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.6%

Profit Margin 17.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 12.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $46.76 (-2%)

2-Year Target $45.97 (-3%)

3-Year Target $45.18 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) $47.61 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 21.1%) $147.54 (+210%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 21.1%) $84.43 (+78%)

Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 21.1%) $71.76 (+51%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94

Bull Case $73.38 (+54%)

Analyst growth 38.6%, PE expands to 18.0

Base Case $66.71 (+40%)

Market implied 38.6%, PE stable at 16.4

Bear Case $32.73 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.3

Stabilization Target: $50.12 (+5.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is UBS showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for UBS.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Banks - Diversified Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Banks - Diversified by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
BAC Bank of America Corp	STRONG BUY 25 analysts	$69	52 HOLD
WFC Wells Fargo & Company	BUY 24 analysts	$100	50 HOLD
C Citigroup Inc.	STRONG BUY 22 analysts	$155	52 HOLD
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co	BUY 25 analysts	$375	49 HOLD
RY Royal Bank of Canada	STRONG BUY 16 analysts	$209	44 HOLD

BAC Bank of America C…

52 HOLD

WFC Wells Fargo & Com…

50 HOLD

C Citigroup Inc.

52 HOLD

JPM JPMorgan Chase & …

49 HOLD

RY Royal Bank of Can…

44 HOLD

Advanced UBS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UBS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for UBS

UBS Technical Chart UBS Price Prediction UBS Earnings Date Why is UBS Moving Today? UBS Investment Advisor UBS Fair Price Analyzer UBS Options Advisor UBS Options Chain UBS Options Analysis UBS Competitors

Compare UBS with Peers

UBS vs DB
Which one to buy?

UBS vs BCS
Which one to buy?

UBS vs HSBC
Which one to buy?

UBS vs MS
Which one to buy?

UBS vs ING
Which one to buy?

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie