UBS Group (UBS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$49.17
+0.21 (+0.43%)
▲
5d:
+2.44%
30d:
+2.82%
90d:
-8.83%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect UBS Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$46.89 – $48.70
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.4x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.20
+12.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.93 / $51.03
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UBS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $48.48 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.93
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.63
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UBS is currently trading at $49.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.89 to $48.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UBS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.93, while resistance sits at $51.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.20 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UBS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.93, while resistance sits at $51.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.20 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.89 -
$48.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$46.89 -
$48.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$45.93
Resistance Level
$51.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding UBS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.41
Wall Street Target
$55.20
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$47.03
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$46.00
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$49.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$125.45
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$72.10
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$61.28
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.03
Bull Case
$76.57
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.2%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$69.61
(+42%)
Market implied 42.2%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$33.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.55
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UBS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish trader on StockTwits expressed confidence in $UBS along with $MFG, $SAN, and $BAC.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards specific stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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