What is the fair value of UBS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for UBS to be between $52.19 and $53.84. The current price is $53.29.

What is the analyst price target for UBS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for UBS is $55.03. This implies a potential upside of 3.4% from current levels.

UBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UBS - UBS Group AG

National Commercial Banks

$53.29

0.09 (0.17%) ▲

5d: -0.63%

30d: +3.38%

90d: +12.02%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $53.96 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: UBS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 21.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$89.14

Based on 12.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$55.35

3.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UBS is currently trading at $53.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.19 to $53.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UBS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $52.19 - $53.84

Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.03)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $52.19 - $53.84

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.88

Resistance Level $54.22

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.05

Wall Street Target $55.03 (+3.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.6%

Profit Margin 17.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium

PE vs Historical 13.1 vs 12.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $54.42 (+2%)

2-Year Target $55.68 (+5%)

3-Year Target $56.96 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $53.23 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.1%) $145.16 (+173%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 21.1%) $94.42 (+78%)

Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: 21.1%) $80.26 (+51%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 33.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58

Bull Case $116.89 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.0

Base Case $106.26 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.6

Bear Case $36.13 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM

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Advanced UBS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UBS price and gamma walls.

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