UGI (UGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UGI - UGI Corporation
$37.99
-0.01 (-0.03%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
+8.23%
90d:
+9.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When UGI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UGI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UGI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.71
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UGI is currently trading at $37.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.47 to $38.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UGI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UGI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.33 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$35.47 -
$38.57
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.47 -
$38.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.60
Resistance Level
$39.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.80
Wall Street Target
$42.33
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.76
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$40.67
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.1%)
$99.13
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 15.1%)
$57.98
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 15.1%)
$49.29
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97
Bull Case
$45.32
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$41.20
(+8%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$25.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$50 | 62 BUY |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 46 HOLD |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$188 | 38 SELL |
|
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities CorâĻ |
BUY
7 analysts |
$147 | 58 HOLD |
|
NJR
NewJersey Resources CorpâĻ |
BUY
8 analysts |
$60 | 48 HOLD |
