UGI
UGI Corporation
GAS & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
UGI (UGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.52
-0.02 (-0.05%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.55%
30d:
-0.35%
90d:
+6.41%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$37.18 â $38.63
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.50
+15.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$36.61 / $39.27
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UGI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.04
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UGI is currently trading at $37.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.18 to $38.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$37.18 -
$38.63
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$37.18 -
$38.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$36.61
Resistance Level
$39.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.69
Wall Street Target
$43.50
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.12
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$38.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$39.35
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$97.09
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 15.1%)
$57.14
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$48.57
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.01
Bull Case
$44.04
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$40.03
(+7%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$25.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UGI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $UGI after observing a 'big candle' formation.
Key Retail Themes:
technical analysis
trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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