UPWK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UPWK - Upwork Inc. Common Stock
$8.21
0.37 (4.72%)
▲
5d:
-3.18%
30d:
-2.73%
90d:
-28.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
Get Alerted When UPWK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UPWK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UPWK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 19.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.37
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.51
43.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPWK is currently trading at $8.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.25 to $8.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: UPWK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.44 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: UPWK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.44 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.25 -
$8.88
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($12.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.25 -
$8.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.40
Resistance Level
$9.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.68
Wall Street Target
$12.44
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.39
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.99
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→9)
$11.25
(+37%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.4%)
$55.74
(+579%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$11.98
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$10.18
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$17.25
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$15.68
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$5.33
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.43
(+88.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UPWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dave Bottoms
SELL
7000 shares
2026-03-19
Sabrina Mekhalfa
SELL
1482 shares
2026-03-18
Hayden Brown
SELL
23745 shares
2026-03-18
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TME
Tencent Music Entertainm… |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$15 | 54 HOLD |
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$827 | 58 HOLD |
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$433 | 58 HOLD |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$427 | 57 HOLD |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$181 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced UPWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPWK price and gamma walls.
