Is UPWK stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, UPWK is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UPWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of UPWK stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for UPWK to be between $8.62 and $9.54. The current price is $8.61.

What is the analyst price target for UPWK?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for UPWK is $9.88. This implies a potential upside of 14.7% from current levels.

UPWK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UPWK - Upwork Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

$8.61

-0.05 (-0.58%) ▼

5d: +1.47%

30d: -1.26%

90d: +2.01%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your UPWK Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $9.77 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UPWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -1.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$11.52

Based on 1.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$7.15

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UPWK is currently trading at $8.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.62 to $9.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.90, while resistance sits at $9.91.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.88 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $8.62 - $9.54

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.88)
WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.62 - $9.54

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.90

Resistance Level $9.91

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.31

Wall Street Target $9.88 (+14.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.9%

Profit Margin 12.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -7.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 8.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -7.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $7.95 (-8%)

2-Year Target $7.34 (-15%)

3-Year Target $6.77 (-21%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→8) $8.58 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.8%) $25.93 (+201%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: -1.8%) $8.15 (-5%)

Bear: (PE: 5.4, Growth: -1.8%) $6.93 (-20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 11.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78

Bull Case $16.67 (+94%)

Analyst growth 74.9%, PE expands to 12.2

Base Case $15.15 (+76%)

Market implied 74.9%, PE stable at 11.1

Bear Case $5.89 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 8.0

Stabilization Target: $10.92 (+26.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +26.8%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Dave Bottoms SELL 7000 shares 2026-03-19

Sabrina Mekhalfa SELL 1482 shares 2026-03-18

Hayden Brown SELL 23745 shares 2026-03-18

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Advanced UPWK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPWK price and gamma walls.

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