UPWK
Upwork Inc. Common Stock
SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
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Upwork (UPWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.78
+0.04 (+0.41%)
▲
5d:
-5.32%
30d:
+13.19%
90d:
+12.93%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect UPWK Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$8.50 – $9.74
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.8x
FAIR
vs 7.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.21
+14.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.93 / $10.59
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UPWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $10.01 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.92
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPWK is currently trading at $9.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.50 to $9.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.93, while resistance sits at $10.59.
Market Sentiment: UPWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.93, while resistance sits at $10.59.
Market Sentiment: UPWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.50 -
$9.74
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.50 -
$9.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$8.93
Resistance Level
$10.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.80
Wall Street Target
$11.21
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.24
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.72
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$11.22
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.82
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -23.9%)
$16.10
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: -23.9%)
$7.13
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -23.9%)
$6.06
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$14.70
(+50%)
Analyst growth 37.2%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$13.37
(+37%)
Market implied 37.2%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$6.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UPWK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Upwork (UPWK) reported Q3 2026 earnings, beating revenue and GSV guidance. The company saw strong growth in GSV per Active Client and Contracts of $100,000+.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Beat
Revenue Growth
Gross Services Volume
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UPWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced UPWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPWK price and gamma walls.
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