Upwork (UPWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UPWK - Upwork Inc. Common Stock
$8.72
0.31 (3.69%)
â˛
5d:
-5.11%
30d:
+3.81%
90d:
+3.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $8.79 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UPWK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UPWK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.37
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPWK is currently trading at $8.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.40 to $9.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.12, while resistance sits at $9.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.88 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPWK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.12, while resistance sits at $9.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.88 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.40 -
$9.33
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UPWK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.40 -
$9.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.12
Resistance Level
$9.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.39
Wall Street Target
$9.88
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.9%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 7.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.12
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.56
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.04
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â8)
$8.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.8%)
$26.06
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -1.8%)
$8.26
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: -1.8%)
$7.02
(-20%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$15.78
(+81%)
Analyst growth 70.6%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$14.35
(+65%)
Market implied 70.6%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$5.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.78
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UPWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dave Bottoms
SELL
7000 shares
2026-03-19
Sabrina Mekhalfa
SELL
1482 shares
2026-03-18
Hayden Brown
SELL
23745 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced UPWK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UPWK price and gamma walls.
