UVSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVSP - Univest Financial Corporation Common Stock
$42.89
0.77 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+2.36%
30d:
+9.11%
90d:
+26.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UVSP is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UVSP is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.02
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVSP is currently trading at $42.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.14 to $41.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UVSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UVSP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.14 -
$41.82
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($40.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.14 -
$41.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.50
Resistance Level
$41.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$40.00
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.7%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.65
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$46.48
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$48.38
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.8%)
$91.58
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 3.8%)
$47.92
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 3.8%)
$40.73
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$52.52
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$47.74
(+11%)
Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$28.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Natalye Paquin
BUY
580 shares
2026-02-02
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