Universal (UVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$45.18
-0.15 (-0.33%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-0.07%
90d:
-15.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When UVV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UVV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UVV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.92
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $45.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.20 to $48.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+48.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+48.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.20 -
$48.71
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.3% below Wall St target ($67.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.20 -
$48.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.95
Resistance Level
$46.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.27
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+48.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 11.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.28
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$41.46
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$39.72
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â12)
$45.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$104.26
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 5.5%)
$53.08
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$45.11
(0%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.61
Bull Case
$54.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$45.18
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$34.56
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$51.48
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Tobacco Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tobacco by analyst ratings.
