UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$50.98
-0.64 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
-6.17%
90d:
-4.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.03
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $50.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.72 to $53.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+45.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+45.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.72 -
$53.50
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.2% below Wall St target ($74.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.72 -
$53.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.19
Resistance Level
$55.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.59
Wall Street Target
$74.00
(+45.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$50.17
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$49.77
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$51.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$112.58
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$59.89
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$50.91
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$113.56
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.7
Base Case
$103.24
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.7
Bear Case
$35.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$52.36
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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