Universal (UVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$39.67
1.45 (3.79%)
▲
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
-7.33%
90d:
-26.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.26
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $39.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.49 to $43.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.11, while resistance sits at $42.67. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: UVV scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.11, while resistance sits at $42.67. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: UVV scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+68.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.49 -
$43.76
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.9% below Wall St target ($67.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.49 -
$43.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.11
Resistance Level
$42.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.02
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+68.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.69
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$33.94
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$31.40
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$39.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$102.66
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$46.60
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$39.61
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.31
Bull Case
$47.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$39.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$30.35
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$50.16
(+26.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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