UVV
Universal Corporation
WHOLESALE-FARM PRODUCT RAW MATERIALS
Universal (UVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$37.95
-0.64 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-4.53%
30d:
-8.6%
90d:
-15.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$38.96 – $41.79
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.6x
CHEAP
vs 11.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$60.00
+58.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.38 / $43.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.15
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.59
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $37.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.96 to $41.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+58.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.00 (+58.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.96 -
$41.79
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$38.96 -
$41.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$37.38
Resistance Level
$43.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.1% below Wall St target ($60.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.62
Wall Street Target
$60.00
(+58.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.2%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.76
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$31.84
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$29.17
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$37.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$102.66
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$44.58
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 5.5%)
$37.89
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.77
Bull Case
$49.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$41.03
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$31.39
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$49.28
(+29.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UVV)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expressed excitement about $UVV's non-stop dividends.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividends
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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