Universal (UVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$42.20
0.52 (1.25%)
▲
5d:
-0.64%
30d:
-8.86%
90d:
-17.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.81
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $42.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.75 to $45.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UVV scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+58.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UVV scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.00 (+58.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.75 -
$45.96
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.8% below Wall St target ($67.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.75 -
$45.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.10
Resistance Level
$44.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.59
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+58.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$37.29
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$35.05
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$42.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$105.45
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$49.57
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$42.14
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.52
Bull Case
$50.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$42.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$32.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$50.60
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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