UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$52.15
-0.54 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-2.67%
30d:
+1.03%
90d:
-3.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.03
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $52.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.46 to $53.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $52.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $52.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$51.46 -
$53.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($74.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.46 -
$53.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.35
Resistance Level
$55.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.97
Wall Street Target
$74.00
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.80
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$52.90
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$53.01
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$107.15
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$61.90
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.5%)
$52.61
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case
$117.19
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.5
Base Case
$106.54
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.3
Bear Case
$36.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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