UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$53.08
-1.30 (-2.39%)
▼
5d:
-3.89%
30d:
-1.43%
90d:
-1.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.48
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $53.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.80 to $54.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.19, while resistance sits at $55.36.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+43.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.80 -
$54.58
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.80 -
$54.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.19
Resistance Level
$55.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.36
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$55.91
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$56.70
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.13
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$113.25
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$63.88
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$54.30
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$78.85
(+54%)
Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$71.68
(+40%)
Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$37.56
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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