VERMILION ENERGY (VET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$11.60
-0.27 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
-7.35%
30d:
-5.38%
90d:
+24.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.20
54.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $11.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.12 to $13.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+134.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+134.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.12 -
$13.17
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 134.6% below Wall St target ($27.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.12 -
$13.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.42
Resistance Level
$13.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$27.22
(+134.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 19.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→19)
$15.20
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 120.4%)
$74.21
(+540%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 120.4%)
$39.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 120.4%)
$33.28
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$20.84
(+79.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+79.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 27, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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