VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$9.40
-0.02 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-7.66%
30d:
-20.61%
90d:
-28.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.21
65.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $9.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.35 to $12.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.35 -
$12.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($14.61)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.35 -
$12.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.91
Resistance Level
$12.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.47
Wall Street Target
$14.61
(+55.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-25.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 25.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-25.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.63
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→25)
$16.66
(+77%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 119.5%)
$66.16
(+602%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 119.5%)
$31.79
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 119.5%)
$27.02
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$22.86
(+142.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+142.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 10:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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