VERMILION ENERGY (VET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$13.20
0.55 (4.35%)
▲
5d:
+11.2%
30d:
+4.35%
90d:
+35.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
16d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $12.45 · last confirmed Oct 15, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.27
67.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $13.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.54 to $12.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+106.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+106.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.54 -
$12.92
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 106.2% below Wall St target ($27.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.54 -
$12.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.38
Resistance Level
$13.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.29
Wall Street Target
$27.22
(+106.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.69
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→18)
$24.28
(+84%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.2%)
$121.32
(+819%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 79.2%)
$44.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 79.2%)
$37.87
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$33.30
(+152.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+152.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 17, 2026 7:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:26 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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