VERMILION ENERGY (VET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$10.45
-0.05 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
-23.67%
30d:
-11.89%
90d:
-8.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $10.45 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VET is down 23.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VET is down 23.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.08
72.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $10.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.47 to $13.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+160.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+160.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.47 -
$13.46
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 160.4% below Wall St target ($27.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.47 -
$13.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.28
Resistance Level
$14.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.77
Wall Street Target
$27.22
(+160.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→17)
$22.96
(+120%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.2%)
$121.32
(+1061%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 79.2%)
$35.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 79.2%)
$29.98
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$31.49
(+201.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+201.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 07, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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