VERMILION ENERGY (VET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$12.84
-0.18 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+17.05%
90d:
+13.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $12.97 · last confirmed Sep 4, 2026
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.38
51.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $12.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.00 to $12.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.88, while resistance sits at $13.34.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+112.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.88, while resistance sits at $13.34.
Market Sentiment: VET scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+112.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.00 -
$12.69
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 112.0% below Wall St target ($27.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.00 -
$12.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.88
Resistance Level
$13.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.89
Wall Street Target
$27.22
(+112.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.36
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→20)
$15.90
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 120.4%)
$73.74
(+474%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 120.4%)
$43.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 120.4%)
$36.83
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$21.82
(+69.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 07, 2026 4:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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