VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$10.86
-0.11 (-1.00%)
âŧ
5d:
-8.89%
30d:
+14.68%
90d:
-8.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $10.86 · last confirmed Aug 7, 2026
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VET is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -22.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VET is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -22.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.47
61.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $10.86, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.31 to $11.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.21, while resistance sits at $11.92.
Market Sentiment: VET has a weak technical setup (33/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+150.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.21, while resistance sits at $11.92.
Market Sentiment: VET has a weak technical setup (33/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.22 (+150.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.31 -
$11.06
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 150.6% below Wall St target ($27.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.31 -
$11.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.22
Resistance Level
$11.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.06
Wall Street Target
$27.22
(+150.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-24.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-22.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-22.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â22)
$17.16
(+58%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 120.4%)
$73.74
(+579%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 120.4%)
$36.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 120.4%)
$31.15
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.54
(+116.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+116.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 7:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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