VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$11.98
0.04 (0.34%) ▲
5d: +5.27%
30d: -12.11%
90d: +5.55%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.21
56.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $11.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.71 to $13.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (28.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.01, while resistance sits at $13.33.

Market Sentiment: VET has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.61 (+21.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $11.71 - $13.13
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($14.61)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.71 - $13.13
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.01
Resistance Level $13.33
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.31
Wall Street Target $14.61 (+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.9%
Profit Margin -46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -22.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.3 vs 28.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -22.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.78 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.70 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.73 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→28) $18.50 (+54%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 119.5%) $66.55 (+456%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 119.5%) $40.43 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 11.3, Growth: 119.5%) $34.37 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 28.2
Stabilization Target: $25.38 (+111.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +111.9%
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Last updated: June 05, 2026 8:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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