VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$9.83
0.16 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+4.57%
30d:
-5.12%
90d:
-21.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VET trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VET trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.81
60.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $9.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.13 to $10.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.35 (+96.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.35 (+96.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.13 -
$10.66
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 96.8% below Wall St target ($19.35)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.13 -
$10.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.73
Resistance Level
$10.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.92
Wall Street Target
$19.35
(+96.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→23)
$14.96
(+52%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 119.5%)
$63.82
(+549%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 119.5%)
$33.18
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 119.5%)
$28.20
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.52
(+108.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+108.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 8:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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