VRTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$167.09
-0.99 (-0.59%) ▼
5d: -1.15%
30d: +2.5%
90d: +17.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VRTS trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.21
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRTS is currently trading at $167.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.40 to $168.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $163.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $148.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $163.40 - $168.86
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 11.9% above Wall St target ($148.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $163.40 - $168.86
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $163.73
Resistance Level $171.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.84
Wall Street Target $148.00 (-11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.2%
Profit Margin 14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.6% premium
PE vs Historical 6.8 vs 5.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $177.49 (+6%)
2-Year Target $187.43 (+12%)
3-Year Target $197.93 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $167.75 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.4%) $576.55 (+243%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 5.4%) $196.60 (+17%)
Bear: (PE: 5.8, Growth: 5.4%) $166.62 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.51
Bull Case $257.13 (+54%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case $233.75 (+40%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case $113.32 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
W Howard Morris BUY 1900 shares 2026-03-12
W Howard Morris BUY 2150 shares 2026-03-12

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