Wd-40 (WDFC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDFC - Wd-40 Co

MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
$210.18
17.62 (9.15%) ▲
5d: +4.53%
30d: +5.44%
90d: -9.14%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WDFC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.92
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.27
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDFC is currently trading at $210.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.79 to $205.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.5) is in line with its historical norms (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDFC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: WDFC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $271.67 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $193.79 - $205.01
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($271.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $193.79 - $205.01
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$8.86 (4.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $191.50
Resistance Level $211.00
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.47
Wall Street Target $271.67 (+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 45.5%
Profit Margin 13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.5 vs 33.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $207.66 (-1%)
2-Year Target $205.17 (-2%)
3-Year Target $202.70 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→34) $209.79 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.5, Growth: 4.0%) $236.54 (+13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.0%) $144.70 (-31%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 4.0%) $122.99 (-42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.58
Bull Case $208.40 (-1%)
Analyst growth -1.6%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case $189.46 (-10%)
Market implied -1.6%, PE stable at 29.3
Bear Case $130.94 (-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.5 to 33.6
Stabilization Target: $217.53 (+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.5%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced WDFC Option Strategies

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