WDFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDFC - Wd-40 Co

MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
$251.43
-13.48 (-5.09%) ▼
5d: +2.02%
30d: +13.01%
90d: +17.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 09, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDFC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$213.89
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDFC is currently trading at $251.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.60 to $247.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.0) compared to its historical average (34.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDFC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $214.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: WDFC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $210.60 - $247.19
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($271.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $210.60 - $247.19
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $192.88
Resistance Level $214.61
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.04
Wall Street Target $271.67 (+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 45.5%
Profit Margin 13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 38.0 vs 34.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $261.24 (+4%)
2-Year Target $271.42 (+8%)
3-Year Target $282.01 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→34) PE COMPRESSION $252.07 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.0, Growth: 6.6%) $304.20 (+21%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.6%) $174.18 (-31%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 6.6%) $148.05 (-41%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.57
Bull Case $293.18 (+17%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case $266.52 (+6%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case $180.14 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David Pendarvis BUY 424 shares 2026-02-05

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