WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$348.92
15.42 (4.62%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
-17.76%
90d:
-6.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WINA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WINA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$436.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$271.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $348.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $346.40 to $412.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.5) compared to its historical average (32.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $325.06, while resistance sits at $384.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+64.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $325.06, while resistance sits at $384.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+64.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$346.40 -
$412.37
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.5% below Wall St target ($545.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$346.40 -
$412.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$325.06
Resistance Level
$384.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.53
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+64.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
47.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 32.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$310.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$290.92
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$272.59
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→32)
$330.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 9.9%)
$439.23
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$344.54
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$292.86
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.62
Bull Case
$432.40
(+30%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$393.09
(+18%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$227.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 32.2
Stabilization Target:
$402.18
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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