WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$403.71
10.07 (2.56%)
▲
5d:
+0.27%
30d:
+11.44%
90d:
-1.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.76
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $403.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $364.45 to $397.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.3) is in line with its historical norms (32.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+35.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$364.45 -
$397.57
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($545.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$364.45 -
$397.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$366.44
Resistance Level
$393.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.34
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 32.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$398.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$393.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$388.17
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→33)
$403.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$514.48
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$357.50
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$303.87
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.10
Bull Case
$502.44
(+25%)
Analyst growth 16.0%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$456.76
(+13%)
Market implied 16.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$267.68
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.3 to 32.6
Stabilization Target:
$419.89
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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