Winmark (WINA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$297.69
-1.77 (-0.59%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
-6.83%
90d:
-29.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WINA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WINA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$436.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$271.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $297.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $291.97 to $326.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (30.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $280.05, while resistance sits at $311.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+83.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $280.05, while resistance sits at $311.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+83.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$291.97 -
$326.69
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 83.1% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$291.97 -
$326.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$280.05
Resistance Level
$311.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.83
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+83.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
47.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 30.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$272.98
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$250.32
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$229.55
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â31)
$297.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$394.61
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$337.75
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$287.09
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.02
Bull Case
$373.35
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.3%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$339.41
(+14%)
Market implied 13.3%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$203.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.8 to 30.9
Stabilization Target:
$385.94
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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