WINA
Winmark Corp
RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL
Winmark (WINA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$275.16
+3.29 (+1.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.85%
30d:
-2.56%
90d:
-21.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$274.22 – $299.42
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.7x
CHEAP
vs 30.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$545.00
+98.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$261.71 / $293.75
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WINA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.54
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.68
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $275.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $274.22 to $299.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $261.70, while resistance sits at $293.75.
Market Sentiment: WINA scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+98.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $261.70, while resistance sits at $293.75.
Market Sentiment: WINA scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+98.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$274.22 -
$299.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$274.22 -
$299.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$261.71
Resistance Level
$293.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 98.1% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 80/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.72
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+98.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
45.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 30.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$257.55
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$241.07
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$225.64
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→30)
$275.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$276.65
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$222.24
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$188.90
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.20
Bull Case
$297.19
(+8%)
Analyst growth -0.6%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$270.17
(-2%)
Market implied -0.6%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$184.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 30.2
Stabilization Target:
$336.13
(+22.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WINA)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on WINA are bullish (sentiment score +0.60) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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