Winmark (WINA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$285.97
5.20 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-9.0%
30d:
-1.82%
90d:
-14.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WINA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WINA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.54
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.68
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $285.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $288.19 to $303.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $279.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+90.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $279.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+90.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$288.19 -
$303.97
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.6% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$288.19 -
$303.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$279.42
Resistance Level
$328.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.69
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+90.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
45.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 30.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$269.96
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$254.84
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$240.57
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→31)
$285.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$287.52
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$222.24
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$188.90
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.29
Bull Case
$334.06
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.2%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$303.69
(+6%)
Market implied 8.2%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$190.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 30.5
Stabilization Target:
$339.46
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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