Willdan Group (WLDN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$73.54
-0.14 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-6.79%
30d:
-16.01%
90d:
-6.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WLDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WLDN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.14
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.43
9.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $73.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.27 to $86.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+87.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+87.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$77.27 -
$86.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 87.0% below Wall St target ($137.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.27 -
$86.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.34
Resistance Level
$84.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.56
Wall Street Target
$137.50
(+87.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.4%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$59.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$53.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$73.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$135.58
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$90.09
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 7.0%)
$76.58
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$103.21
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$93.83
(+28%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$50.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$100.36
(+36.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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