Willdan Group (WLDN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$72.06
-0.74 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
+0.63%
30d:
-11.43%
90d:
-0.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 53% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 53% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.01
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.11
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $72.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.67 to $78.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WLDN scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+90.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WLDN scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+90.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.67 -
$78.96
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.8% below Wall St target ($137.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.67 -
$78.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.20
Resistance Level
$77.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.28
Wall Street Target
$137.50
(+90.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.4%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$58.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$52.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$72.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$131.99
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$88.28
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$75.04
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$101.98
(+42%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$92.71
(+29%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$49.50
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$98.74
(+37.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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