WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$73.59
5.06 (7.38%)
▲
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
-0.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.62
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.21
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $73.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.76 to $77.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $74.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+86.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $74.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+86.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$70.76 -
$77.56
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 86.8% below Wall St target ($137.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.76 -
$77.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.18
Resistance Level
$74.98
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.88
Wall Street Target
$137.50
(+86.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.9%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$59.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$53.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$74.96
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$136.09
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$91.16
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$77.48
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
Bull Case
$107.40
(+46%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$97.64
(+33%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$46.60
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$102.82
(+39.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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