WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$71.31
-0.77 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
-9.63%
30d:
-26.28%
90d:
-8.83%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WLDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WLDN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.11
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.38
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $71.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.64 to $94.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+92.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+92.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.64 -
$94.23
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.8% below Wall St target ($137.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.64 -
$94.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.50
Resistance Level
$101.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$137.50
(+92.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.9%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$57.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$51.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→20)
$76.89
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$142.99
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$88.33
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$75.08
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
Bull Case
$112.96
(+58%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$102.69
(+44%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$49.01
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$105.47
(+47.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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