WLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLY - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Class A
$51.58
-0.50 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+5.87%
90d:
+23.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.15
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLY is currently trading at $51.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.90 to $53.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WLY scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.00 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WLY scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.00 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$49.90 -
$53.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($68.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 108% recent growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.90 -
$53.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.42
(6.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.02
Resistance Level
$52.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.86
Wall Street Target
$68.00
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.4%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 8.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.60
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$59.94
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$64.62
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$137.90
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 13.1%)
$74.61
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.1%)
$59.78
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.16
Bull Case
$65.41
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.2%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$59.47
(+15%)
Market implied 14.2%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$35.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WLY price and gamma walls.
