WMG
Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock
SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
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Warner Music Group (WMG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.85
+0.01 (+0.03%)
▲
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
+10.17%
90d:
+25.69%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$28.45 – $31.61
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.2x
FAIR
vs 15.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.00
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.25 / $33.17
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WMG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.68
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMG is currently trading at $31.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.45 to $31.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.25, while resistance sits at $33.16.
Market Sentiment: WMG scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.25, while resistance sits at $33.16.
Market Sentiment: WMG scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.45 -
$31.61
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.45 -
$31.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$29.25
Resistance Level
$33.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.19
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
393.1%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.14
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$32.43
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$32.72
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$52.60
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 10.4%)
$42.88
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$36.45
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$55.12
(+73%)
Analyst growth 57.4%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$50.11
(+57%)
Market implied 57.4%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$21.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WMG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $WMG, with traders believing the stock is undervalued and AI technology will yield significant returns. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Undervalued stock
Use of AI technology
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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