WMS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WMS - ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.
$132.51
-3.15 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-5.59%
30d:
-5.85%
90d:
-17.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.4/10
Get Alerted When WMS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WMS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.02
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMS is currently trading at $132.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $134.98 to $146.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.03, while resistance sits at $143.64.
Market Sentiment: WMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.00 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.03, while resistance sits at $143.64.
Market Sentiment: WMS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.00 (+35.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$134.98 -
$146.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WMS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($180.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$134.98 -
$146.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.63
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.03
Resistance Level
$143.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.81
Wall Street Target
$180.00
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.0%
Profit Margin
14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$121.61
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$116.51
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$132.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$191.68
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$173.27
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$147.28
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.45
Bull Case
$189.52
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$172.29
(+23%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$95.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$150.53
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is WMS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$76 | 69 BUY |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$151 | 67 BUY |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$97 | 51 HOLD |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$520 | 57 HOLD |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$81 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced WMS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WMS price and gamma walls.
